Bagyong "KABAYAN"

Tropical Storm Bagyong KABAYAN Update!

KABAYAN” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH OVER THE WATERS EAST OF DAVAO ORIENTAL.
•HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
•Heavy Rainfall Outlook
•Forecast accumulated rainfall for today
•100-200 mm: Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Agusan del Sur, Davao del Norte, Davao de Oro, and Davao Oriental.
•50-100 mm: Central Visayas, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Davao City, Cotabato, Lanao del Sur, the southern portions of Samar and Eastern Samar, and the rest of Caraga, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, and Davao del Norte.
•Forecast accumulated rainfall for tomorrow
•50-100 mm: Mainland Palawan, Cuyo Islands, Cagayancillo Islands, and Kalayaan Islands
•Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are likely especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
•In addition, the Shear Line coinciding with the passage of KABAYAN may bring heavy rainfall over the eastern portion of Southern Luzon. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory No. 4 issued at 11:00 PM yesterday and 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast and Outlook at 4:00 AM today.
•Severe Winds
•The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
•Minor to moderate impacts from gale force winds may occur within any of the areas where Wind Signal No. 2 is hoist
•Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will bring also gusty conditions for the next 2 days over the following areas not under any Wind Signal, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
•Today and Tomorrow: Most of Luzon and Visayas
•HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
•Under the influence of the Northeast Monsoon surge and Tropical Storm KABAYAN, a Gale Warning is in effect for the coastal waters along the seaboard of Northern Luzon, the eastern and central seaboards of Visayas, and the eastern seaboards of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Mindanao. Sea travel is risky for small seacraft (including all motor bancas of any type or tonnage). Mariners of these vessels are advised to remain in port or seek safe harbor. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 5 issued at 5:00 AM today.
•Outside the coastal waters under Gale Warning, moderate to rough seas are likely over the western seaboards of Central (1.5-3.5 m) and Southern Luzon, the western and northern seaboards of Mindanao, and the remaining seaboard of Visayas (1.25-3.0 m). Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
•TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
•Hazards such as severe wind and heavy rainfall may be experienced in areas that are not close to the track forecast. Refer to the “Hazards affecting land areas” for more detailed information.
•A southward shift in the track forecast has been observed. KABAYAN is forecast to track generally westward or west northwestward path across the Philippine archipelago over the next two days.
•On the track forecast, KABAYAN will likely to make landfall as a tropical storm along the coast of Davao Oriental this morning. It will then cross the rugged terrain of Mindanao, and emerge over the Sulu Sea between this afternoon and evening. Due to frictional effects associated with landfall, KABAYAN is forecast to be downgraded into a tropical depression, and the possibility of being further downgraded into a low pressure area while over land or after emerging over the sea is not ruled out (although in such a case, re-development may still occur over the Sulu Sea).
•Afterwards, KABAYAN will move across the Sulu Sea south of Cagayancillo Islands. The tropical cyclone is forecast to make another landfall over central or southern Palawan as a tropical depression by tomorrow morning or afternoon, then emerge over the West Philippine Sea shortly thereafter. KABAYAN may pass near or over Kalayaan Islands between tomorrow evening and Wednesday morning.
The current track and intensity forecast may still change given the nature and strength of this tropical cyclone.

*Location of Eye/center
The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data over the coastal waters of Manay, Davao Oriental (07.2 °N, 126.7 °E )

*Movement
Moving Westward at 20 km/h

*Strength
Maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h

*Forecast Position
Dec 18, 2023 05:00 PM - In the vicinity of Midsalip, Zamboanga del Sur
Dec 19, 2023 05:00 AM - 370 km West of Dipolog City, Zamboanga del Norte
Dec 19, 2023 05:00 PM - Over the coastal waters of Rizal, Palawan
Dec 20, 2023 05:00 AM - 205 km South Southeast of Pag-asa Island, Kalayaan, Palawan or 425 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
Dec 20, 2023 05:00 PM - 270 km Southwest of Pag-asa Island, Kalayaan, Palawan or 680 km West of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)
Dec 21, 2023 05:00 AM - 880 km West of Southwestern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
Dec 22, 2023 05:00 AM - 1,555 km West of Western Mindanao (OUTSIDE PAR)

*Have A Wonderful Monday To All Of Us!🤗😍

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