Well Tau Ceti does have planets... who knows? Strange that an extraterrestrial event is something listed as potential game-changers in the war.
Everything I hear from the mainstream Western media, and Ukraine itself, is that Ukraine is winning the war. They have recently admitted things are becoming more like a "stalemate", but still say Ukraine can win this.
Everything I hear from the alternative media, and Russia, is that Ukraine is toast. They've lost 600,000 troops, mobilization is not bringing up enough new blood, and funding from USA has dried up. Meanwhile Russia has lost less than 100,000 troops, and has millions to spare, along with plenty of money and ammunition. This was always going to be the outcome. Russia is much bigger and much more powerful. Even with NATO playing a proxy war, Ukraine isn't in a position to win this. Russia will dictate terms of the surrender, and likely take most of Ukraine for itself, leaving small parts of the North and West to be incorporated into European neighbors.
Russia cannot capture a small city-type village of Avdiivka with 10 thousand inhabitants in six months, having concentrated its main strike forces in this area, but you believe that it can capture a country of 40 million people? Truth?
Here are real data on Russia's losses (from the general staff of the army, not from your unnamed mass media): this is 367 thousand killed, 6050 tanks, and so on. Ukraine fights more intellectually, does not use its soldiers as "meat" and our losses are less.
We really have difficulties with deliveries. But I will remind you that at the very beginning of the war we withstood the blow of Russia, when we had no support at all and were not preparing for war. Russia was preparing for war, and at the same time suffered a defeat near Kiev and retreated. Since then, the Ukrainian army has only become stronger, and the Russian army is much weaker.
During the winter campaign, our task is to stand still and simply destroy as many Russian soldiers and equipment as possible. This is now being successfully implemented. Only with the arrival of the F-16 will we see some kind of radical change in the nature of battles.
"Russia cannot capture a small city-type village of Avdiivka with 10 thousand inhabitants in six months, having concentrated its main strike forces in this area, but you believe that it can capture a country of 40 million people?"
I don't believe anything. I'm telling you what I've observed. This is what people are saying, outside the lying Western mainstream media. It's not my belief, or my desire, it's just what appears to be happening.
As for Avdiivka, what makes you certain Russia is trying to capture it? What if, instead, they are trying (and succeeding) to waste most of Ukraine's available firepower and troops, in a "meat grinder" situation that costs Russia almost nothing? Perhaps they aren't in a hurry, as you seem to assume? I don't think you know and understand the objectives and tactics of the presidents and generals. They likely have a plan you're simply not aware of, leaving you to assume they are trying to capture Avdiivka, something you likely heard from the propagandists (state media outlets).
You are lost within the system itself. You are emotional and illogical. I am an outside observer. You think you are being objective, and that your "official" media sources aren't lying to you. That's your main mistake, and it will continue to cost you dearly.
"Russia suffered a defeat near Kiev and retreated."
That's a great example. Ukraine tells its people "we sent Russia home!", but the rest of the world knows that Russia never intended to destroy Kiev.
"Since then, the Ukrainian army has only become stronger, and the Russian army is much weaker."
Every side in every war in history tells their people that same thing. "We are getting stronger! The enemy is getting weaker!" It has no bearing on reality and means nothing. You repeating it will not change anything.
" Only with the arrival of the F-16 will we see some kind of radical change in the nature of battles."
Is that when Russia will start using more of its available capabilities and weapons that it has been withholding?
Your message is even funny.
The main thread is something like: "Russia has been stuck in fighting in Ukraine for 2 years, is sucking up and cannot even capture a village, simply HIDING its real capabilities, instead of achieving the goals of the war."
Where are you from and what is your nationality with such reasoning?