00:00:00 - 01:00:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный and NGSH Shaptalo on the Front. Chernye Lebedi 2024 according to POLITICO," the speakers discuss the ongoing military situation on the frontlines between Ukraine and Russia and potential geopolitical risks. They update viewers on fundraising efforts for the "Ne Zla mne serdtsa" foundation, which supports the production of drones for Ukrainian military brigades, and share achievements throughout the year, including the delivery of 225 drones. The focus has shifted to the southern front. The Ukrainian military faces challenges due to personnel, weapons production, and military strategy, as well as economic difficulties in securing financial aid from the US, which could result in military risk and even escalation into a larger global conflict. The speakers also discuss North Korea's development of ballistic missiles and potential cooperation with Russia and Iran, causing concern among civilized countries. The video covers various potential disruptions or "black swans" that could significantly impact events in 2024 as outlined by Politico, such as missiles from Iran, a war with China, or natural disasters altering the political landscape. They also discuss the importance of holding ground in strategic areas, like the working frontline in Zaporizhia, and the need for decisive military action and support from allies.
00:00:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный и НГШ Шаптало на фронте. Черные леbeди 2024 года по версии POLITICO," the speaker welcomes viewers and updates them on ongoing fundraising efforts for the volunteer foundation, "Ne Zla mne serdtsa," which supports the production of drones for Ukrainian military brigades. The spokesperson shares that despite the year coming to an end and ongoing war conditions, they will continue to accept donations. The video also includes a review of the organization's achievements throughout the year, with a focus on the production and delivery of 225 drones. Currently, priorities have shifted to the southern front. The speaker thanks Oleh Zhdanov for his support and mentions ongoing efforts to transform vehicles into drones. Despite relatively quiet nights, there have been reports of two unmanned aerial vehicles in Sumy Oblast and efforts to counteract them, along with two rockets landing in Harikov without causalities. Over the past days, there have been 77 combat engagements on the front line.
00:05:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный and NGSH Shaptalo on the Front. Black Swans 2024 according to POLITICO," it is reported that military activity has been increasing. The enemy has carried out five rocket and 52 aviation attacks and 53 shelling attacks using multiple launch rocket systems, targeting Ukrainian army positions and civilian areas. Three drones were used in attacks on Ukraine, one of which was shot down by Ukrainian air defense. Civilians have been injured, and residential structures and critical infrastructure have been damaged, including a children's recreational center in one region of Ukraine. The enemy focused attacks in the Harkiv, Luhansk, and Donetsk regions, and more than 120 settlements came under artillery fire in the Chernihiv, Sumy, Harkiv, Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Dnepropetrovsk, Kherson, and Mykolaiv regions. The Russian forces have sustained losses and retreated to their original positions after failed attacks on Ukrainian positions, particularly in the Syinkivka area. The Ukrainian military continues to respond with counter-diversion measures, deploying two battalions, one tank, and one motorized infantry battalion to various regions. The situation remains under control and is continually monitored by Ukrainian intelligence, as evidenced by a recent operation by the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense in the Belgorod region.
00:10:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный and NGSH Shahagolatio on the Front. Black Swans 2024 according to POLITICO," the speaker discusses the military situation on the ground in Ukraine, specifically mentioning the Eastern front. The Russian army had planned to launch an offensive in Harkov but has reportedly changed their focus, withdrawing forces for training and refitting in the Luhansk region. Enemies have been attempting to advance in the areas of Ternov and Vesele, but their attacks have been unsuccessful. The Russian army has also been active in the area around Andreevka, but have not been able to make any significant gains. The line of defense on the Bahmut front has not changed, as Ukrainian forces have managed to repel all 13 attacks initiated by the Russian army in the past day on theAutodeevesky front. The most intense fighting is currently taking place at the Novobakhmutovka and Avdeevka sectors, where Ukrainian forces continue to hold the line and prevent any significant advances by the enemy. The Russian army has shifted focus to attacking on the south towards Georgievka and Novomikahylovka in the Mariinsk direction, with 15 attacks reported in this sector in the past day. However, Ukrainian forces have been able to repel all attacks and maintain their positions. Overall, the situation on the Eastern front remains intense, with both sides engaging in ongoing battles and making small gains.
00:15:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный and NGSH Shapatalo on the Front. Chernye lebedi 2024 according to POLITICO," the speakers discuss the military situation at the frontlines. The Russian forces gained control of a forested area, but Ukrainian troops were forced to abandon it due to heavy enemy artillery fire. The enemy continued to launch attacks in the direction of Georgievka, but their progress was halted. The line of defense stabilized, and Ukrainian forces continued to defend the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia directions. Ukrainian forces attempted to expand their platzdram, but the Right Bank continued to suffer from artillery bombardment. Despite failed attacks, Russian forces sustained significant losses in personnel, equipment, and vehicles. The Times reported several risks for Ukraine in 2024, including Europe no longer purchasing Russian energy sources, Ukraine remaining de facto divided, and Russia having the initiative on the battlefield and material advantages in ammunition, technology, and weapons. Late in the section, the speaker mentions that 18% of Ukraine's territory is currently occupied by Russia.
00:20:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный и НГШ Шаптало на фронте. Черные лебеди 2024 года по версии POLITICO," Ukrainian military officials discuss the challenges facing Ukraine in the ongoing war with Russia. They suggest that Ukraine needs to address its issues with personnel, weapons production, and military strategy to prevent further territorial losses. However, they note that Ukraine is facing economic challenges due to the lack of financial aid from the United States, which is delaying the necessary shift to a wartime economy. Despite attempts to lobby for financial support, the US has yet to make a definitive decision on allocating funds to Ukraine. The military officials warn that this could result in a major military risk for Ukraine, potentially drawing in NATO and even escalating into a larger global conflict. They emphasize the need for more military aid or for Ukraine to take the fight to enemy territory. Additionally, they mention the potential for conflict in countries like Ecuador, where internal armed conflicts and corruption poses a significant threat.
00:25:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный и НГШ Шаптало на фронте. Черные лебеди 2024 года по версии POLITICO," the speakers discuss ongoing conflicts and potential military escalations. A criminal leader in Equator has escaped from prison, sparking armed men to take hostages on television and demanding the army and police be removed from the streets. The President of Equator is attempting to intervene. Meanwhile, the North Korean leader has announced that South Korea is their main enemy and threatened war if South Korea uses military force against North Korea or threatens its sovereignty. North Korea has been launching missiles into the waters around South Korea, and Russia could potentially receive missiles from North Korea. The U.S. and South Korea have been attempting to adapt North Korean rockets to their launchers but have had difficulties. North Korea has been transferring not only rockets but also launchers to Russia, making it easier for the U.S. to track their activity with satellite imagery. The rockets in question are the N-23, with a price tag of $3 million each, and the N-24 with a range of 410 km and a payload of 400-500 kg. Another possible option is a modification of the Soviet rocket Scud R17 or Elbrus, which Saddam Hussein used to attack Tel Aviv.
00:30:00
In this section of the "10.01 Главком Zaluжny and NGSH Shapтальo on the Front. Chernye Lebeди 2024 according to POLITICO" YouTube video, the discussion revolves around the development of ballistic missiles in North Korea and its potential cooperation with Russia and Iran. The North Korean liquid-fueled Scud missiles, which have a range of 300 to 1,000 kilometers and a warhead weight between 500 and 960 kg, underwent various modifications during the 1970s, with assistance from the Soviet Union and likely China. Current testing is taking place with these modified devices. In response to these developments, various nations, including the United States, European Union, Japan, Australia, Canada, Germany, and others, have issued a joint statement expressing deep concern about the potential impact on European security, the Korean Peninsula, and international peace. The statement references Russian usage of ballistic missiles against Ukraine on December 30, 2022, and January 2, 2023, while also addressing the transfer of North Korean missile technology to Russia. The United States has announced that Russia has also used missiles during its attacks on Ukraine and is considering holding Russia accountable. The United Nations, along with 47 member states, has also issued a related statement. However, North Korea, which has been under international sanctions since 2006, was reportedly violating these sanctions by engaging in arms trade with Russia.
00:35:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный and NGSH Shaptsiano on the Front. Black Swans 2024 according to POLITICO," the speaker discusses concerned actions from civilized countries, including the United States, regarding North Korea's disregard for UN Resolutions. North Korea, in response, has been developing military technology, which could potentially bring economic and geopolitical consequences. The speaker mentions the development of a new Iranian drone, the Sky News 107A, equipped with a video transmission device, capable of flying up to 1,500 km. However, the existence of a reliable, long-range communication system, such as satellite connectivity, for transmitting the video signal is under question as North Korea is not believed to possess such a system yet. The speaker also casts doubt on the reported capabilities and size of the new drone, comparing it with smaller, presumably already existing, Russian-made drones used in Ukraine. Conclusively, the speaker raises concerns about the reliability and feasibility of the reported drone capabilities.
00:40:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный and NGSH Shaptalo on the Front. Chernye Lebedi 2024 by POLITICO," the speaker discusses various potential disruptions, or "Black Swans," that could significantly alter the course of events in 2024, as outlined by the publication Politico. Among these potential disruptions is a missile created in Iran, which has not yet undergone tests or production preparation, as well as a war with China, extraterrestrial contact from Tau Ceti, a digital Apocalypse, global warming, revolutions against Putin, the criminalization of abortion, and an assassination attempt on a US presidential candidate. The speaker emphasizes the uncertainty of these predictions and the potential for global conflict if NATO becomes involved in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Additionally, Africa could become a powerful player in the post-American world order if the US were to decline in influence.
00:45:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный и НГШ Шаптало на фронте. Черные лебеди 2024 года по версии POLITICO," the speakers discuss potential geopolitical changes that could occur as a result of natural disasters or climate constantas. They bring up the possibility of a catastrophic event, like a hurricane or earthquake, altering the political landscape on a global scale. Additionally, they mention a list of "black swans," or surprising events, that Politico has published, which they consider major risks. The list includes over a dozen potential disruptions that could significantly impact world events. The speakers then switch gears to discuss military strategy and the importance of holding ground in specific areas, such as the working frontline in the Zaporizhia region. They stress the significance of defending this key position, which is located in the middle of the enemy's main defensive line, and the potential for expanding the territory if resources become available. They also touch upon the importance of controlling the logistics in the area and preventing the enemy from establishing new defensive lines. The discussion ends with a call to action for the audience to subscribe to the channel and engage with future videos and their questions.
00:50:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный и НГШ Шаптало на фронте. Черные лебеди 2024 года po версии POLITICO," the speakers discuss the importance of holding onto each military placement or "plactadrm," particularly in the area of Workyntsi, as it allows for significant firepower against the enemy in the Donetsk region. They highlight how the Ukrainian forces are currently denying the opposition the ability to create new fortifications and minefields, but the longer the conflict lasts, the greater the losses and rebuilding costs for Ukraine. The speakers also mention that the United States and European Union have extended their support for Ukraine for two more years and are facing pressure to increase military aid due to Russia's military build-up and the inability to definitively respond. Despite having a substantial stockpile of weapons and ammunition, the speakers suggest that the European Union is hiding their supplies and should consider releasing some to Ukraine to expedite the war's end.
00:55:00
In this section of the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный и НГШ Шаптало на фронте. Черные лебеди 2024 года по версии POLITICO," the speakers discuss the strategic reserves of weapons and their implications for the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia. The speakers explain that these reserves are intended for use by a country's own military, and that if Russia intends to provide weapons to Ukraine, they may have to tap into their strategic reserves. The speakers note that the United States had the opportunity to do so during the second year of the conflict but chose not to. The speakers suggest that this decision presents a dilemma for the West: either to prolong the war or to provide Ukraine with the necessary weapons to potentially end it more quickly, but with risks of a nuclear escalation or prolonged conflict recovery. The speakers also provide two different scenarios of how the conflict might unfold. Ultimately, the speakers acknowledge that they do not possess all the information required to fully understand the geopolitical implications of the conflict involving major players like the United States, European Union, China, India, and others.
01:00:00 - 01:20:00
In the YouTube video titled "10.01 Главком Залужный и НГШ Шаптало на фронте. Черные лебеди 2024 года по версии POLITICO," the speakers discuss various topics related to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and its geopolitical implications. They describe the destruction of a train carrying ammunition, known as an "Echelon with ammunition," and the challenges of defending against enemy attacks due to limited resources and potential heavy casualties. Despite the instability in Russian leadership and China's theft of missiles, the importance of holding ground and conserving soldiers is emphasized. The speakers also touch on the role of border guards during the annexation of Crimea and the submission of military forces to the Ministry of Internal Affairs. There are discussions about criminal gangs releasing prisoners and mercenaries, as well as global economic and technological developments involving Serbia, Russia, Ukraine, China, the US, France, and the electric car industry. The video concludes with a reminder to subscribe to the channel and donation appeals for drone production. No clear resolution is provided for the discussed topics.
Well Tau Ceti does have planets... who knows? Strange that an extraterrestrial event is something listed as potential game-changers in the war.
Everything I hear from the mainstream Western media, and Ukraine itself, is that Ukraine is winning the war. They have recently admitted things are becoming more like a "stalemate", but still say Ukraine can win this.
Everything I hear from the alternative media, and Russia, is that Ukraine is toast. They've lost 600,000 troops, mobilization is not bringing up enough new blood, and funding from USA has dried up. Meanwhile Russia has lost less than 100,000 troops, and has millions to spare, along with plenty of money and ammunition. This was always going to be the outcome. Russia is much bigger and much more powerful. Even with NATO playing a proxy war, Ukraine isn't in a position to win this. Russia will dictate terms of the surrender, and likely take most of Ukraine for itself, leaving small parts of the North and West to be incorporated into European neighbors.
Russia cannot capture a small city-type village of Avdiivka with 10 thousand inhabitants in six months, having concentrated its main strike forces in this area, but you believe that it can capture a country of 40 million people? Truth?
Here are real data on Russia's losses (from the general staff of the army, not from your unnamed mass media): this is 367 thousand killed, 6050 tanks, and so on. Ukraine fights more intellectually, does not use its soldiers as "meat" and our losses are less.
We really have difficulties with deliveries. But I will remind you that at the very beginning of the war we withstood the blow of Russia, when we had no support at all and were not preparing for war. Russia was preparing for war, and at the same time suffered a defeat near Kiev and retreated. Since then, the Ukrainian army has only become stronger, and the Russian army is much weaker.
During the winter campaign, our task is to stand still and simply destroy as many Russian soldiers and equipment as possible. This is now being successfully implemented. Only with the arrival of the F-16 will we see some kind of radical change in the nature of battles.
"Russia cannot capture a small city-type village of Avdiivka with 10 thousand inhabitants in six months, having concentrated its main strike forces in this area, but you believe that it can capture a country of 40 million people?"
I don't believe anything. I'm telling you what I've observed. This is what people are saying, outside the lying Western mainstream media. It's not my belief, or my desire, it's just what appears to be happening.
As for Avdiivka, what makes you certain Russia is trying to capture it? What if, instead, they are trying (and succeeding) to waste most of Ukraine's available firepower and troops, in a "meat grinder" situation that costs Russia almost nothing? Perhaps they aren't in a hurry, as you seem to assume? I don't think you know and understand the objectives and tactics of the presidents and generals. They likely have a plan you're simply not aware of, leaving you to assume they are trying to capture Avdiivka, something you likely heard from the propagandists (state media outlets).
You are lost within the system itself. You are emotional and illogical. I am an outside observer. You think you are being objective, and that your "official" media sources aren't lying to you. That's your main mistake, and it will continue to cost you dearly.
"Russia suffered a defeat near Kiev and retreated."
That's a great example. Ukraine tells its people "we sent Russia home!", but the rest of the world knows that Russia never intended to destroy Kiev.
"Since then, the Ukrainian army has only become stronger, and the Russian army is much weaker."
Every side in every war in history tells their people that same thing. "We are getting stronger! The enemy is getting weaker!" It has no bearing on reality and means nothing. You repeating it will not change anything.
" Only with the arrival of the F-16 will we see some kind of radical change in the nature of battles."
Is that when Russia will start using more of its available capabilities and weapons that it has been withholding?
Your message is even funny.
The main thread is something like: "Russia has been stuck in fighting in Ukraine for 2 years, is sucking up and cannot even capture a village, simply HIDING its real capabilities, instead of achieving the goals of the war."
Where are you from and what is your nationality with such reasoning?
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