Joe Biden's approval rating will dip within the next month—I'd say two points. I'm optimistic; I don't believe the "hush money trial" verdict against Donald Trump in New York will move many people. The lasting effects of inflation will drive voters away from the Biden administration.
On TikTok, the sentiment seems relatively tame. More Americans are focused on economic matters, the progressives focus on Palestine, and centrists may bring up immigration occasionally. The sentiment is changing and this will hurt the Biden administration. Older Latino support for Joe Biden has been falling slowly within three months; Younger Latino voters have a consensus in their opposition to Joe Biden.
It's too early to tell if Latinos will shift to Donald Trump after the verdict, but I do not believe the verdict will play a larger role in voters moving away from Biden compared to the economy.
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