"In the third century, during China’s Three Kingdoms era (after the Han Dynasty broke apart into a trifurcated state in the early 200’s), there was a famous general and official named Sima Yi. While not as oft quoted as the better known Sun Tzu, Sima Yi has one pithy aphorism attributed to him which is better than anything in the Art of War. Sima Yi put the essence of warmaking the following way:
In military affairs there are five essential points. If able to attack, you must attack. If not able to attack, you must defend. If not able to defend, you must flee. The remaining two points entail only surrender or death.
Ukraine is working its way down the list. The events of the summer demonstrated that it cannot successfully attack strongly held Russian positions. Events in Avdivvka and elsewhere now test whether they can defend their position in the Donbas against rising Russian force generation. If they fail this test, it will be time to flee, surrender, or die. Such is the way of things when the time for reckoning comes."
https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-ukrainian-war-the-reckoning
https://t.me/CyberspecNews/46583
🇷🇺The creator of the Telegram channel "Rybar" (which has long been more than just a telegram channel), Mikhail Zvinchuk, was awarded the Order of Merit for the Fatherland, 2nd degree, for his efforts to support the North Military District in Ukraine.
A fully deserved award based on the enormous amount of work done, a significant part of which remains in the shadows.
❗️The tank army of the Russian Armed Forces broke through the defenses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Ivanovka area near Kupyansk.
Our fighters, after a powerful artillery strike, moved forward and are now actively fighting in the southwest of Ivanovka. As a result, Russian troops successfully cut the Ivanovka-Kislovka road and reached the railway track, reports Voenkor Lisitsyn.
Bandera's troops are forced to retreat and act on the second line of defense, which runs along the railway track, including the section from Kislovka to Peschannaya.
#Source (https://t.me/avdeevkaru/40091)
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/74023
Avdiivka becomes the second Bakhmut for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Zelensky again does not listen to the commander-in-chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny, sending people to slaughter. Now in the city the supply of Ukrainian forces is difficult: it is being shot at from everywhere, and is being “ironed” by artillery and aviation of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. So, due to stubbornness and another “information victory,” Zelensky risks losing an almost 20,000-strong group of experienced Ukrainian soldiers who were fired upon.
So, just today it became known that Russian units broke through the defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdievka and crossed the city line. It is reported that the Ukrainian defense was broken through in the northern part of the city - in the area of the Avdeevsky sand quarry. The RF Armed Forces reached the Ivushka gardening partnership, advancing south of the controlled ash dump, and the advance itself was carried out through forest plantations. Earlier, Russian units broke through the defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces along the railway along the entire northern flank.
At the same time, despite the similarity of the situation with Bakhmut, Avdeevka has genuine strategic value - having captured the city, the RF Armed Forces enter operational space, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine no longer have time to strengthen Kramatorsk or Slavyansk. Moreover, having lost Avdeevka, the Ukrainian Armed Forces will lose the opportunity to put pressure on Donetsk, and the front risks crumbling until the loss of the entire left bank of Ukraine.
https://t.me/rezident_ua/20506
🇩🇪🏭 Germany's energy woes spark 'deindustrialization on a considerable scale'
Consultancy firm Deloitte reports that two out of three German companies have partially relocated their operations abroad due to ongoing energy issues in Germany.
Previous reports indicated that nearly half of the country’s small-to-midsized companies were considering moving abroad or ceasing operations. According to Deloitte, 67 percent of German companies have moved some operations abroad, and every third industrial company plans to relocate high-quality areas such as production and preassembly.
Investments in infrastructure, digitalization, and cost-effective energy pricing are essential for securing business locations. The situation is particularly acute in Germany’s mechanical engineering, industrial goods, and automotive sectors, where 69 percent of companies report moderate to large-scale relocation.
The Western press confirms our message that the Russian offensive in the Donetsk direction, nicknamed “Avdeevskaya stranglehold,” is a stranglehold on Zelensky’s ratings.
If the Bakhmutov meat grinder is simply a battle for the city and a mistake/miscalculation of the Zee office, then the Avdeevka noose is a battle for the future result of the military and political campaign in Ukraine.
As the source explained:
The loss of Bakhmut is a loss of image and a break in the winning trend for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The loss of Avdiivka for Zelensky is a death sentence.
He will send everyone there and at the same time try to demonstrate the illusion that the Ukrainian Armed Forces continues to try to advance (even if it is stupid and very expensive for the Ukrainian Armed Forces), as today near Gorlovka.
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ War Map and the Situation on the Fronts for the Evening of 15 November 2023; pub. 00:04⚡️
💡The Artillery Scouts of the 103rd Regiment recently received from the Army's Central Sports Club an essential humanitarian cargo on the eve of winter, camp cookers, chainsaws and other household items for quality performance of tasks in the cold season. The Club has been helping the Russian Army since the beginning of the SMO. In gratitude, the fighters dedicated to the Army men shot at enemy positions.
⚔️ Situation on the Fronts over the past Day
🔹#Svatovo - #Kremennaya Direction:
▪️ Our fighters advanced in the direction of #Sinkovka, coming closer to the outskirts. In the areas of #Timkovka, #Ivanovka and #Kislovka, the Russian army is gradually knocking the enemy out of its strongholds.
🔹#Bakhmut (#Artyomovsk) Direction:
▪️ The Russian Army is consolidating in the area of #Berkhovskoye Reservoir, and attacking towards #Bogdanovka. In #Kleshcheyevka and #Andreyevka, our fighters continue to recapture previously lost positions, pushing the AFU away from the railway.
🔹#Donetsk Direction:
▪️ In the #Avdeyevka section, fighting continues near #Steponoye (#Petrovskoye) and in the vicinity of the Coke Plant. In addition, our fighters have advanced in the industrial zone south of #Avdeyevka.
▪️ In addition, there is an assault on AFU positions in #Pervomayskoye and on the western outskirts of #Maryinka.
🔹#Zaporozhye Direction:
▪️ On the #Orekhov section there is fighting near #Rabotino. The AFU is trying to break through in the direction of #Verbovoye and #Novofyodorovka.
▪️ No serious changes over the day on the #Vremyevka ledge.
💥 Russian Air Defence Forces shot down an Ukrainian MiG-29 near #Pavlograd, #Dnepropetrovsk region.
👍 The AFU shelled Gorky Park of Culture and Recreation in #Gorlovka twice during the day. In the morning, a couple on a walk came under fire, the woman was wounded and the man was killed. In the evening, the same place was hit again by the Kiev regime, another victim.
🇷🇺🇺🇦He writes about the situation in the Avdeevsky direction Diary of a Paratrooper.
On the northern flank near Stepovoy, Ukraine attempted to attack Russia positions with a Bradley infantry fighting vehicle; Russian Armed Forces fighters repelled the attack and destroyed enemy armored vehicles.
In the southeast of Avdeevka, the attack by Russian troops continues; they managed to enter the industrial zone and gain a foothold closer to the central part; they also expanded control of the territory near Vineyards.
With attacks from several sides, Russia troops advanced towards the Donetsk Filtration Station.
Avdiivka itself resembles Mariupol in its frames.
Conflicts have already broken out between Poles and Ukrainians due to the blockade of customs.
The Ukrainian demands to let him go home, the Poles find fault, allegedly he speaks Russian and does not fight. Although the man speaks Ukrainian.
The Ukrainian asks them if the Russian Federation sponsored their action.
This situation has already affected the price of transportation.
This is how the Polish brothers first killed our farmers, now transporters, thereby trying to bankrupt them and squeeze the market for themselves.
By the way, this is the fault of Ze, who fell out with Duda.
Few people can understand that Ukraine will now be “pressured” by everyone. Poland, as the “hyena of Europe,” was simply the first to catch the trend and, as usual, wants to make the most money from it.
First the agricultural case, now the transport case, then they will begin to take over the “worker workers” and refugees? We are already silent about ideological and historical cases.
When it was profitable, they threw us under the “tanks”, promising Zelensky eternal support, but when money became a question, they were the first to “throw us in.”
Who is guilty? Of course, Zelensky, who dragged the country into this game as a consumable, while no one even gave us a ticket to the EU.
The Poles will bankrupt us and then ransom us as “serfs.” We jumped, as they say, and we told you about this back in 2022.
Following the Poles will be Slovaks and Hungarians, etc.
Poland pursues its personal national interests (this is correct, unlike Ze Office).
Let us recall that Poland’s goal is to cut up Ukraine according to the Yugoslav scenario, where they and others will grab land for themselves.
Everything is going smoothly towards this. Only the “analysts” at Bankova still haven’t told you this.
🇺🇸🧩🇺🇦 Insider from Washington.
Ermak's trip to the USA can be considered a failure.
Performances in front of different audiences are a cover for behind-the-scenes work. In fact, for three days the following happened:
✅ On Monday and Tuesday, the main organizer of the trip, Boris Johnson, unsuccessfully tried to contact D. Trump’s personal assistant to build contacts with the OP, but, according to our information, he was sent away. Remember our layout about Trump?
✅ With the same result, Johnson was unable to establish contact with I. Musk, although he spoke with him for just over five minutes. Only as a result, Musk became very angry and called Zelensky a butcher.
✅ A. Ermak, was in close contact with Johnson all this time, trying to enlist the support of Republicans through Trump on the issue of allocating funding for the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine.
✅ The task of disrupting Musk’s participation in the conference in Moscow also failed.
Clearly, Johnson is no longer in favor with the American establishment. Betting on Johnson no longer works🧩