Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army expanded the control around terrikon hill by taking control over adjacent quarries and part of the treeline northeast of Coke plant. It's very possible we will see an assault of this industrial area in the next days, Not only because its located in a high area but also because it paves the way to advance in the urban area from this axis avoiding the open field east of the railway.
"Ukrainian Resident Exposes Alarming Threat from Right Sector: No Help if Authorities Seize You"
A concerning video has surfaced wherein law enforcement officers, believed to be affiliated with the nationalist Right Sector, cautioned a Ukrainian resident that no assistance would be available if the authorities were to apprehend them. The footage shows the police displaying a seemingly lighthearted reaction to inquiries related to mobilization.
@ukr_leaks_eng
Zaluzhny advocates defense and economy.
Zelensky needs to continue the offensive in order to maintain the message/illusion that the Ukrainian Armed Forces continues its creeping offensive.
The different approach of Ze and Za intensifies the quiet war between the military and the office. Even the Times writes about it.
The escalation will begin at the moment when it becomes clear to everyone that the offensive failed, due to the fact that Ze was carried away by the offensive, the Ukrainian Armed Forces began to lose positions and territories, since the defense was not prepared.
In the army, Zelensky’s rating is already 50/50.
The Ukrainian counter-offensive is approaching its tragic ending - the so-called. The “Azov massacre” was too costly for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which suffered huge losses in equipment and manpower. At the same time, Ukraine, after an unsuccessful offensive, will no longer be able to repeat anything like this, and its strength is only fading, as is the faith of Kyiv’s Western partners.
Let us note that as a result of their entire summer counter-offensive, the Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to recapture less than 300 square kilometers of territory. However, they did not occupy any strategic points.
True, there is now a lot of evidence that the Russian Armed Forces are seizing the initiative at the front. Particularly alarming information for Kyiv is coming from its eastern sector of the front, where the onslaught of Russian forces is especially strong.
Western military experts are confident that a positional war will gradually “burn out” the remaining reserves of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which will force Zelensky to choose between the loss of Kupyansk, Maryinka, Avdeevka or a mass retreat in the Azov area. Naturally, we are no longer talking about a counter-offensive; the maximum that the Ukrainian Armed Forces can do is try to impose oncoming battles along the entire front.
https://t.me/rezident_ua/20317
🇮🇱🇷🇺🇺🇦🖇 Ukrainian CIPSO has managed to spark anti-Israeli protests in Dagestan
For the last two days, a video from the Dagestan Khasavyurt has been circulating on the Internet: young people are looking for Jews in the local Flamingo hotel that were supposed to have come from Israel
🔻It would seem, where did the Jews come from in Khasavyurt and what was all this all about?
▪️Information about the Israelis in the hotel was planted by the administrators of the well-known channel Morning Dagestan (part of the network of Ukrainian CIPsO)
▪️Ukrainian hirelings called for solidarity with the people of Palestine and riots. As “proof”- a screenshot of anonymous correspondence of certain persons on WhatsApp without any adequate information was provided
📌Last year, the channel’s editors actively incited protest sentiments in Dagestan against the backdrop of the partial mobilization announced in the Russian Federation. The resource includes the network of fugitive ex-deputy Ilya Ponomarev. And judging by the fact that the search for Jews also began in Karachay-Cherkessia, the number of resources controlled by Ukrainians has only grown
It is surprising that no one was embarrassed by the open incitement to block the federal highway on a flimsy pretext. No one was surprised by the ridiculous use of Islamic rhetoric by administrators in the spirit of “give more TAKFIR” along with other terminology every word, which is more likely to be used by comic characters than by serious, spiritualized Muslims
❗️However, it still worked. The young people were unable to find a single Jew in the Flamingo Hotel in Dagestan, as in Karachay-Cherkessia. But the Ukrainian CIPsO managed to create a false picture, for some time increase pressure on Russian law enforcement agencies and at the same time make some Russians look like fools
🔻By the way, back in 2013 they wrote that in the Russian Southern Federal District and North Caucasian Federal District combined there are only about 3.5 thousand Jews left, and their outflow continues. How many of them are left there today? A couple hundred? And it’s certainly unlikely that all of them are hiding in Khasavyurt
◾ Ilya Ponomaryov, ex Russian deputy now working as a foreign agent in the West has openly admitted that he works on telegram to create problems in Dagestan and that the protests have been coordinated mostly by his Telegram channel "Morning Dagestan"
- Ponomaryov leader figure of the Liberal pro Western opposition in Russia fled the country in February 2022 and has since worked presumably for American government agencies in the propaganda field.
Yesterday TsIPSO carried out an effective cognitive operation in Dagestan, for this they used their network of telegram channels in Russia. The cognitive dissonance of the whole situation lies in the fact that the instruments dispersing anti-Jewish sentiments in Dagestan belong to the Jew Ilya Ponomarev.
The Financial Times: Violence in Dagestan is fueled by rumors that refugees from Israel are being resettled in the Muslim-majority region. Some of these rumors were apparently inflated by a Telegram channel with 50 thousand subscribers. This channel is associated with former Russian politician Ilya Ponomarev. He now lives in Kyiv, opposes the Kremlin and claims to be coordinating a group of Russians fighting against Moscow in Ukraine. Of course, Ponomarev said that he does not control the channel, they all belong to the Ukrainian special services.
They beautifully used the arrival of a plane from Israel for mass protests in the region, they even promoted the narrative of child killers, I wonder if the Mossad will then determine who owns the channel?
https://t.me/rezident_ua/20315
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the SMO #Highlights in the Territory of the Former Ukraine by 22:08 Moscow Time for 29 October 2023⚡️
🔹1. #Zaporozhye Direction:
In the area of #Pyatikhatki - no changes.
In the area of #Rabotino and #Verbovoye during the day several attacks of the enemy were repelled, which did not achieve success and suffered significant losses in men and equipment.
The AFU units are being rotated, as the shattered units are losing their offensive potential.
🔹2. #Vremyevka Ledge:
▪️The situation is generally unchanged. Positional battles are ongoing.
▪️Our troops are probing for opportunities to improve positions north of #Priyutnoye and near #Novomayorskoye. Also the processing of #Urozhaynoye continues.
🔹3.#Ugledar:
▪️Our troops are attacking at #Novomikhaylovka, there are some tactical advances in our favour. But it is too early to talk about taking #Novomikhaylovka.
▪️The enemy has a powerful fortification there, covering the eastern flank of the #Ugledar grouping. It will be quite difficult to break through.
▪️In the area of #Maryinka - no significant changes.
🔹4. #Avdeyevka:
▪️Positional fighting continues north and south of the city. Movements are still of an insignificant nature.
▪️The RF Armed Forces have shifted their focus to fire damage to enemy positions in a number of areas in an effort to ensure the prerequisites for future strikes and reduce losses in offensive actions.
▪️The enemy is moving reinforcements to #Avdeyevka.
▪️It is too early to talk about encircling the city.
▪️The supply of the AFU through #Orlovka continues.
▪️According to a number of reports, the enemy has withdrawn part of the headquarters structures from the #Avdeyevka pocket.
🔹5. #Artyomovsk:
▪️No significant changes north of the city.
▪️Positional fighting near #Vasyukovka and Orekhovo-Vasilyevka.
▪️To the south continued fighting on the #Kleshcheyevka - #Andreyevka- #Kurdyumovka line.
▪️The enemy could not break into our defence, while continuing to suffer serious losses.
▪️Of course, we are not talking about a rush bypassing #Artyomovsk from the south.
🔹6.#Svatovo - #Kupyansk:
▪️The RF Armed Forces continue to hold the initiative, but the enemy, using transferred reinforcements, launches attacks in an attempt to extinguish it. This has so far led to a slowdown in our movement east of #Oskol, but the key question is whether the enemy will be able to hold the front after exhausting the transferred reserves, which were also withdrawn from the #Zaporozhye direction.
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🔎 On the Similarities for the AFU between Battle for #Bakhmut and the Situation in #Avdeyevka⚡️
❗️The AFU Position is deteriorating and the options for action become fewer.
🔹How did Events Develop?
▪️At the first stage of the operation, the AFU failed to disrupt the execution of the Russian plan, in particular, to identify and hit places of troop staging, to prevent the advance of mechanised columns, etc.
▪️Apparently, at the start of active operations, the relationship between part of the AFU forces was disrupted and the interconnected fire system was partially paralysed. In particular, this manifested itself in a gradually weakening counterbattery fight. Currently, the situation does not change. The AFU positions and rear areas are under constant shelling. The response of the AFU is limited.
▪️A significant part of the AFU's artillery and air defences were partially destroyed by strikes during the initial operation phase, and the surviving ones are suppressed on a regular basis. This allowed the Russian Army to use all types of artillery, as well as bomber and army aviation, including attack helicopters, for strikes.
🔹What is the Main Difficulty for the AFU?
▪️The city garrison receives ammo and other supplies via the #Berdychi - #Petrovskoye - #Semyonovka area and the #Orlovka - #Lastochkino line. The logistics system partially resembles the scheme used by the AFU during the defence of #Bakhmut. The transport and logistics systems in both cases relies on a road network clearly visible to Russian troops. Most of the routes are unpaved, the use of which for active transport in the autumn-winter period will be difficult and slow down the supply.
▪️It is noteworthy that in early October the AFU tried to move mechanised forces from the #Zaporozhye direction towards #Donetsk. In particular, Leopard 2 tanks, M2 Bradley IFVs and M113 APCs of the 47th Mechanized Brigade were spotted there. They are now assumed to be northwest of the city, but are not being sent into combat for security reasons.
🔹What is the Situation Now?
▪️The AFU now face active fights in the northern #Avdeyevka section, at #Slagheap and close to the railway in the area of #Koksokhim. The distance between the northern and southern sections has already been reduced to 7 km in a straight line. If this trend continues, the city garrisons and the troops in the areas of #Stepovoye, #Orlovka, #Severnoye and #Avdeyevka will begin to face problems with evacuating the wounded and supplying them in the same way as they did in #Bakhmut. It is unlikely that mosquito logistics using pickups will help where the density of Russian artillery fire is maximum.
▪️No massive inflow of fresh AFU forces into the area has been recorded so far, nor has there been any mass use of aircraft, AFVs or artillery. Some AFU troops are in the semicircle, holding fortified positions, but at the moment they are rather isolated from the active battle than actively participating in it.
❗️It is important to understand that the AFU does not have the initiative at #Avdeyevka at the moment and is in passive defence. This may be due both to the lack of forces in the area and the impossibility of transferring significant reinforcements to threatened areas, and to the lack of clear objectives by the command. In simple terms, the AFU command presumably has no consensus on whether the defence of the city should be continued or if they should be withdrawn to more advantageous positions.
📌 Given that #Ukraine's political leadership prefers to cling on territory at any cost and tends to ignore the military's advice, we can assume that a voluntary withdrawal from #Avdeyevka is unlikely. However, the defence of this area may become much more difficult for the AFU than in #Mariupol or #Bakhmut.
https://t.me/ivan_utenkov13
By Ivan Utenkov (https://t.me/ivan_utenkov13)
Battle for Avdeevka: A Decisive Effort
Unexpectedly for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the command of the Russian Armed Forces introduced huge fresh reserves into the battle for Avdeevka - two armies that had previously been in disguise in the distracting Kupyansk-Liman direction (2nd and 41st OVA). Finally, defining his main battle this fall.
The task of the 1st Corps of the 8th OVA in the battle for Avdeeva was to initially “shake” the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense system in this direction. There was severe bloodshed, but initial success was achieved (in particular, the notorious waste heap was taken).
The main forces went forward, squeezing pincers around Avdeevka - in 10 directions at once, not allowing the Ukrainian Armed Forces to come to their senses. The important fortification "Tsar's Hunt" was surrounded; Russian troops reached the railway line in the north of the city and approached the village of Severnoye in the south. The corridor through which the Ukrainian Armed Forces can receive supplies in Avdeevka (via Orlovka) has narrowed from 9 to 7 kilometers. According to BILD military expert Julian Röpke, Avdeevka faces encirclement.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are transferring serious reserves (in particular, the well-known 47th brigade), large-scale artillery duels are taking place, and the Russian Aerospace Forces are covering the Avdeevka Coke and Chemical Plant, which is critical to the defense and adjacent to the waste heap. Intelligence reports that at night, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine evacuated the headquarters from Avdeevka. However, the decisive battles are still ahead and will not end soon.
Lukashenko was skeptical about the results of the battle for Avdeevka : Recently, in the Avdeevka area, Russia tried to put pressure. Many people died. Did not work out. They stand head-to-head to death, entrenched.
However, Lukashenko himself also turned out to be unaware of the operation with the unexpected introduction of two armies into the battle.