Predicting what might happen based on what has already happened for many people who call themselves analysts in different areas of life, economics, climate, medicine, and so on has become a good source of income for them, as well as for those who create departments for such people at universities to prepare such predictors.
And this is not so much a forecast based on specific numbers, but a forecast based on iron logic, because if someone made a good profit by scratching their head and filling out several play tables with specific data, entering some established variables and coefficients and getting some. probable result.
But, in the calculations themselves, as a rule, iron logic may be completely absent.
For example, this has been going on for two years now and all analysts are shouting in one voice about the increase in the price of coffee due to crop failure, but I have not seen any change in the price of this product, but the prices of those products that analysts were silent about have skyrocketed, for example, vegetables.
Moreover, vegetable seeds were planted in the ground at old prices, land rent was paid at old prices, water for irrigation was paid at old prices, and there is no logic, not even a rusty one, in the fact that the prices of these products should have skyrocketed.
But okay, personally I have lost confidence in all kinds of forecasts, but one forecast can be trusted lol, even if it is a joke.
This forecast is based on the advice of one proverb that you need to separate the flies separately and the cutlets separately... otherwise, they constantly strive to unite lol.
So, using iron logic again, we can say that if there are flies in your country, then there are definitely cutlets there, and if there are cutlets there, then not everything is so bad with the economy of your country lol.
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