Who in the world doesn't want the war to end?

00:00:00 - 00:55:00
In the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Ukrainian politician and commentator discusses the differing approaches of Democrats and Republicans towards international relations, specifically regarding the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Democrats aim to put Russia under double dependence, while Trump represents a consistent policy with a different worldview. The video also touches upon the recent visits of British and US officials to Kyiv, the potential implications of Iran and North Korea providing ballistic missiles to Russia, and the ongoing geopolitical power struggle between Ukraine and Russia. Ukrainian political analyst Andriy Illenko emphasizes that the conflict is not a war to the death but rather a means for each side to assert influence. The video also discusses the potential risks for Odesa, Russia's plans for the Odesa region, and Belarus' upcoming elections. Ukrainian political commentator Dmytro Tymchuk expresses doubts about the authenticity of the Russian opposition and the potential for a new political landscape in Russia. The video concludes with discussions on the ongoing political tensions between Ukraine and Belarus, the US presidential debates, and the importance of addressing various issues towards bringing about peace.

00:05:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," the speaker discusses the recent simultaneous visits of the British Foreign Minister and the US Under Secretary of State to Kyiv, which is seen as a sign of impending peace talks. However, the speaker notes that these negotiations may be influenced by military actions, such as potential strikes on Russian territory, which could either weaken Russia or lead to retaliation. The speaker also mentions China's involvement in the situation and the various positions of Brazil, Russia, and the West regarding the conflict. Ultimately, the speaker suggests that the ongoing military actions and diplomatic efforts are part of a larger power struggle to shape the terms of any potential peace agreement.

00:10:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Alexey Arestovich discusses the geopolitical implications of the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia. He mentions that both sides exchange symbolic signals in public spaces to further their peaceful plans or have their proposals considered. However, Ukraine is not satisfied with the current peace position, such as the freeze at the demarcation line. Arestovich also raises the question of whether the US will continue to financially support Ukraine in the next year, as this has been a significant factor in compelling Ukraine to seek peace. He warns that the absence or reduced financial aid could be used as an ultimatum by Russia, threatening military action and sanctions. Putin has also threatened war against Western countries, but Arestovich argues that this is unlikely due to the potential consequences for Russia, including the opposition of key allies like India and China. He also mentions that the idea of an ideal war is a myth, as even during the Great Patriotic War, the Soviet Union used the majority of its forces to defend against Japan. Arestovich concludes by stating that the likelihood of preventative tactical nuclear strikes in the Kurske region is not zero, but an answer to this threat does not exist, as even the prospect of such attacks is calculated to influence public opinion in the West and Russian voters.

00:15:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Ukrainian political analyst Andriy Illenko discusses the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, emphasizing that it is not a war to the death but rather a geopolitical power struggle. He argues that both sides are creating illusions of enemies and that the war is not logical or predictable, but rather a means for each side to assert its influence in a multi-polar world. Illenko also dismisses the possibility of a nuclear war, stating that it is not the goal of either side and that the conflict is costly but not destructive to the world as a whole. The analyst also touches upon Turkey's stance on the conflict and its potential support for Ukraine, but ultimately concludes that Turkey's position is standard for any country as a member of the United Nations, and that it does not pose a significant threat to Russia's territorial integrity.

00:20:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Alexey discusses the geopolitical implications of Iran and North Korea providing ballistic missiles to Russia. He acknowledges that there are realities on the ground that need to be considered, but also emphasizes the importance of accurate information and analysis. Alexey mentions the potential for a response from the West if Russia is attacked with these missiles, and the challenges of launching and hiding such attacks. He also touches on the ongoing tensions between Russia and the West, and the need for both sides to recognize the potential for an escalating conflict. Alexey also briefly discusses the declining significance of armored vehicles on the battlefield, but suggests that they are not yet obsolete.

00:25:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Ukrainian military analyst Andriy Stelmashchuk discusses the ongoing arms race between offensive and defensive military technologies, stating that it is an eternal struggle with no definitive end. He mentions drones as a serious factor changing the battlefield and requiring a new concept of warfare, but the principles of military law and strategy remain the same. Stelmashchuk also talks about the role of Transcarpathia, Ukraine's border region, as a potential transportation hub and industrial zone, but its development is complex, costly, and time-consuming. He also touches upon the issue of financing the military and the challenges of mobilizing resources. The conversation then shifts to discussing the difficulties Ukraine faces in attacking Russian military targets and the potential consequences of attacking Russian commercial ships. Stelmashchuk expresses his doubts about the international community's response to such actions, suggesting it could be perceived as piracy. The conversation also touches upon the investigation of the FSB (Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation) into opposition leader Alexei Navalny and his team.

00:30:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Ukrainian political commentator Dmytro Tymchuk expresses his doubts about the authenticity of the Russian opposition, specifically in relation to the case of Nevzlin. He believes that the Russian opposition is artificially created and divided, with complex relationships between different groups. Tymchuk argues that despite their lack of real influence, they still pose a threat and require attention. He also discusses the possibility of a new political landscape in Russia, with free elections and the emergence of new political forces. Regarding the question of border crossing for men once the war is over, Tymchuk suggests that there will be ongoing military obligations and restrictions, making a smooth transition not immediate.

00:35:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Alexey Arestovich discusses the potential risks for Odesa, Russia's plans for the Odesa region, and Belarus' upcoming elections. He explains that despite Russia's attempts to provoke border conflicts and create tensions between Ukraine and Belarus, there is no significant military threat to Odesa or other cities. Arestovich also mentions that Belarusian President Lukashenko has been under pressure from Russia to stage elections and create the appearance of opposition to appease international audiences. He concludes by stating that Lukashenko will not engage in a war with Ukraine and will instead focus on maintaining his image as a non-authoritarian leader.

00:40:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Ukrainian political commentator Vladimir Arestovich discusses the ongoing political tensions between Ukraine and Belarus, with rumors of a new political technology team being formed. He also touches upon the US presidential debates between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, expressing his views on their performances and the validity of certain accusations made during the debates. Arestovich believes that both candidates failed to address key issues and instead focused on attacking each other, with Trump's insistence on being a victim of various allegations being a significant flaw in his debate strategy. Despite this, Arestovich acknowledges that Trump's base remains loyal to him, and the outcome of the election will depend on the undecided voters. The conversation then shifts to the topic of donations for the broadcast and the importance of every contribution, as they work towards their goal of victory.

00:45:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Andriy Andreychenko discusses the ongoing war in Ukraine and potential peace talks. He mentions that there may be negotiations about a ceasefire this year, but the outcome of the US elections could impact the situation in Ukraine. China and the US, with Russia's agreement, are making efforts to facilitate these talks. The Ukrainian side is hesitant about the proposed conditions, such as the freeze on hostilities, which they find unsatisfactory. The desire for peace talks is shared by major world powers, but their success does not guarantee implementation. The Stuttgart talks, which were successful but not implemented, serve as an example. The speaker also touches upon the potential involvement of Italy and Kazakhstan in the conflict and the ongoing threat of terrorism, specifically the revival of Al-Qaeda under the leadership of Osama bin Laden's son. Despite the challenges, Western intelligence agencies remain focused on counter-terrorism efforts. The discussion also includes references to past events, such as the Olympic Games in Paris and the football championship in Germany, where potential threats were identified and addressed. Overall, the speaker emphasizes the importance of addressing these issues and the significant efforts being made by various parties to bring about peace.

00:50:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," Ukrainian politician and commentator Vladimir Arestovich discusses the Canadian rejection of the Russian documentary "Русские на войне" (Russians at War) from a film festival. Arestovich expresses his skepticism towards the reasons for the rejection, suggesting it may be due to propaganda or the film's critical stance on the Ukrainian side. He also touches upon the topic of water pollution in Kyiv and the surrounding areas, acknowledging that he is not an expert on the issue. The conversation then shifts to the ongoing conflict and the use of various types of weapons, with Arestovich arguing that the focus on specific weapons, such as Iskander missiles, serves propaganda purposes. He also mentions the targeting of critical infrastructure in Ukraine and the international community's response. The conversation continues with discussions on various aspects of the conflict and the potential reasons for the Canadian decision.

00:55:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Арестович: Кого в мире не устраивает конец войны? @holovanov," President Zelensky called for the US to fulfill their commitments to provide military aid to Ukraine without delay. However, he noted that there have always been delays in fulfilling their requests, with the percentage of requests being met ranging from 23% to 91%. He criticized the US for providing military aid to other countries at a higher rate than to Ukraine, despite the greater need. The president also mentioned that the US had provided significant military aid before the Russian invasion but then made a large arms deal with Saudi Arabia shortly after. Alexei Arestovich, the speaker in the video, expressed disappointment in the inconsistency of US actions and encouraged viewers to subscribe to his YouTube channel and Telegram channel.