9.02 Fighting in the Marinka area, in Avdeevka worsening. The Russian Federation is losing its oil and gas infrastructure (Ukrainian drone strikes are accurate)

in ukraine •  10 months ago 

00:00:00 - 01:00:00
In this YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай on Mariinsky ON, worsening situation in Avdeevka. RF losing neftegazovaya infrastructure," the speaker discusses recent developments in the ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia, including the status of military leaders, the impact of drone technology on the battlefield, and the destruction of Russian oil and gas infrastructure. The video covers a prisoner exchange involving Ukrainian soldiers, Russian air raids with drones, updates on the military situation at various fronts in Ukraine, and the potential financial implications of the conflict for Russia. The speaker also touches on various global developments, such as the US Senate debating military aid to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan, and Russia's economic struggles precipitated by the damage to its infrastructure. The video concludes with a discussion on the limitations of defensive systems like the THAAD against tactical nuclear weapons and the role of drones in modern warfare.

00:00:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай on Marьинском ON, worsening in Avdeevka. RF losing its oil and gas infrastructure," the speaker, from Ukraine, begins by discussing the recent resignations and appointments within the Ukrainian military's leadership. He emphasizes the importance of waiting for the final appointments before analysis. The topic then shifts to the ongoing collection and production of drones by the volunteer foundation, reminding viewers that the war continues, and the enemy is still advancing. The speaker expresses the need to defend, and the role of drones, which are in short supply, is becoming increasingly important due to the depletion of artillery ammunition on the front lines. The video then demonstrates the impact of the donations made to the foundation, as different military units express their gratitude for the received drones. The speaker thanks several individuals and organizations, including Oleh Zhdanov and his YouTube channel, for their support, which resulted in the acquisition of drones used for combat missions.

00:05:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ОN, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфраструктуру," Slava, the speaker, shares news about a prisoner exchange that took place on the same day when political and military events were dominating the conversation. Fifty-one Ukrainian soldiers, including 49 National Guard members, 25 border guards, and 26 military personnel, were released, with a senior soldier being 62 years old and a youngest serving soldier at 20. This exchange was facilitated with the help of the United Arab Emirates. The military situation was also discussed, with Russian forces continuing to attack Ukraine through air raids with drones, including 136 unsuccessful attempts. The Shahed-136 drones were launched from the temporarily occupied Ukrainian Crimea and the Kursk region in Russia. Despite efforts from Ukrainian military and defense units, 10 drones succeeded in reaching their targets in the Nikolaevskaya, Hersonskaya, and Kharkovskaya regions. Meanwhile, there was a noticeable decrease in combat activity along the frontlines, with 65 military engagements recorded over the past day, resulting in 13 rocket, 66 airstrike, and 96 artillery attacks on Ukrainian military positions and civilian areas. Unfortunately, civilians, including children, were among the casualties.

00:10:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ОN, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфraструктуру," the speaker discusses the military situation on various fronts in Ukraine. Russian bombardment targeted residential areas in the Chernihiv, Sumy, Harkiv, Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Petrovka, and Nikolayevsk regions. The operational situation remains tense and unchanged on the northern and Slovyansk fronts, with the enemy maintaining a presence in border regions and conducting divergent attacks on other threatening operational directions. The situation is particularly challenging and stable but controllable by Ukrainian military or defense forces. In the Hortytsa and Kupynske directions, Ukrainian forces successfully thwarted five attacks. The front line remains unchanged, but the intensity of battle actions has lessened on the Livani direction. In the Donetsk region, Russian forces made four attempts to attack Ukrainian positions but were unsuccessful, inflicting losses and retreating. Similar situations were reported on the Baхmutske direction. The Avdeevsko direction, which is part of the operatives' responsibilty group's Tavria zone, remains very difficult. Russian forces attempted to close a small circle around the northeastern part of the Avdeevsky plateau by advancing along the railroad, but failed to progress beyond it. Despite their efforts to encircle this area, Ukrainian forces successfully repelled 19 attacks on the northern flank, but faced challenges in the south due to ongoing intense battles.

00:15:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-tolkay on Mariinsky ON, worsening situation in Avdeevka. RF is losing its neftegazovaya infrastructure.", the speaker discusses the military situation on the Maurian operational direction in Eastern Ukraine. The Russian forces made partial advances in the area of Georgievka-Pobeda, pushing back Ukrainian forces a few hundred meters. However, Ukrainian forces counterattacked and regained some previously lost positions around Novomikhailovka. In total, 16 enemy attacks were reported on this front over the past day. While there have been no significant changes to the front lines, there have been intense positional battles, shooting, and artillery exchanges. The Ukrainian forces repelled an attack west of Verbovo, with higher enemy activity noted on this sector, but no new changes to the front lines in Donetsk or on the operational-strategic group's responsibility in the Odessa-Kherson direction. Land and air forces attacked seven enemy areas concentrating personnel, weapons, and military equipment. Enemy losses amounted to 91 personnel, 2 tanks, 22 armored vehicles, 24 artillery systems, 2 reactive systems, 18 operational-tactical unmanned aerial vehicles, 1 cruise missile launcher, 38 vehicles, and 4 specialist vehicles. To recap, there have been numerous attacks on Ukrainian lines, with significant losses for the Russian forces, and a continued focus on targeting oil and gas infrastructure in Europe. The Ukrainian security services have also targeted two oil refineries in the Krasnodar region, resulting in a fire and damage to a primary processing unit at one of them, with a capacity of 3.6 million tons.

00:20:00

In this section, a source from Ukraine's security services reported that Russia has lost two key neftegas infrastructure sites in Avdeevka due to drone attacks. These sites are crucial for Russia as they produce diesel fuel for military needs and contribute significantly to its economy. The destruction of these sites has led to a 15% price increase in opto Hitryk Butyovka, Russia's fuel brand, on the domestic market. The sources also mentioned that there were two rounds of Senate votes in the United States regarding the financing of military and technical aid to Ukraine, Isral, and Taiwan. Despite these setbacks, Russia continues to face economic pressure, as its neighboring countries systematically undermine its oil and gas infrastructure. The destruction of these facilities further limits Russia's ability to process and export its oil, causing a potential fuel crisis. Russia's military and economic situation is facing significant challenges, and its reliance on oil and gas exports leaves it vulnerable to strategic attacks.

00:25:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ОN, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфраструктуру," the speaker discusses the ongoing debate in the United States Senate regarding a bill to provide financial aid to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. The White House is reportedly prepared with Plan A and Plan B in case the bill faces challenges in the House of Representatives. Plan B involves the US selling military equipment to Great Britain and Germany, who will then send it to Ukraine. The New York Times reported that such a plan is already in place at the White House. The debate in the Senate is expected to begin on Monday, March 1, and the US has already imposed sanctions on Russia, including the ban on imports of Russian-mined diamonds weighing one carat or more since September 2020. The European Union also faces difficulties as Polish farmers have initiated a nationwide strike that could last up to a month, and there are reports of traffic disruptions on the Polish-Ukrainian border. Additionally, several legal entities from Libya and the United Arab Emirates associated with the unsorted diamonds have been added to the US sanction list.

00:30:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ОН, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфraструктуру," the speaker discusses ongoing negotiations between Ukraine and Poland regarding the export of agricultural products, which is a contentious issue in the ongoing protests by farmers. However, the speaker also wishes to address the rights of Russian military prisoners in the context of the ongoing conflict in the Donbass region of Ukraine.apparently, Russia held "pseudo referendums" and annexed territory in the Donbass region, creating quasi-states that continue to exist and operate. However, the financing of these occupied territories is creating massive financial flows, and there has been a recent intensification of trials against Ukrainian soldiers for alleged war crimes, despite international law protecting combatants. These public trials aim to create an image of Ukrainians and the Ukrainian nation as barbaric and inhumane in the eyes of the Russian public. The speaker also mentions the discovery of mass graves and atrocities committed by Russian soldiers, which are being publicly showcased. Additionally, Russian soldiers in the occupied territories now have satellite internet access and are purchasing satellite modems from the United Arab Emirates. Despite the neutral stance of the Emirates, they are also facilitating prisoner exchanges between Russia and Ukraine. However, the speaker notes that Ukrainian soldiers are starting to complain about these transactions.

00:35:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай on Marijnsk ON, worsening in Avdeevka. RF losing neftegazovaya infrastructure," the speaker discusses Elon Musk's SpaceX company limiting the functionality of Starlink satellites used by the Ukrainian military. These satellites, some of which are commercially provided and some supplied as military aid, cannot be directly controlled by SpaceX and operate on closed military communication channels. However, commercial Starlink satellites have been reported to cause issues with internet connectivity for Ukrainian soldiers. The speaker also mentions Norway's decision to purchase 10 more launch systems and command centers for the NASAMS air defense system, and Finland's announcement of a new military aid package worth nearly €190 million. Furthermore, the speaker discusses Forbs' analysis that Russia has lost over $100 billion in revenue from damaged neftegazovaya infrastructure over the past two years, with attacks occurring from the Black Sea to the Volga River.

00:40:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ОN, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфраструктуру," the speaker discusses the impact of the conflict in Ukraine on Russia's economy. The article in Time reports that most strikes inside Russia have been carried out using weapons manufactured in Ukraine. The destruction of Russian infrastructure, including parts of the oil and gas industry, may result in Russia not reaching its goal of $100 billion in energy exports this year. The arrest of Russia's gray fleet in the Indian Ocean and Mediterranean Sea will further reduce Russia's budget revenues. In addition, exports are required to sell their entire foreign currency earnings, leaving exporters looking for ways to avoid bringing money into the country, reducing revenues for the Russian Federation. The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation has proposed raising the retirement age for mobilized and contract soldiers to 65, indicating a shortage of personnel for the army. Another blow to the economy came when Turkey allowed transactions with the Russian Federation only for humanitarian goods. All other economic and commercial transactions have been banned, impacting sectors such as agriculture, medicine, textiles, tourism, and education.

00:45:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ON, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфraструктуру," the speaker discusses recent military-political developments in Russia and Ukraine. Putin gave an interview to an American media figure named Carlson, in which he proposed talks to end the war in Ukraine. However, the Interpreting War Institute, an American think tank, assessed the interview as part of an information-psychological special operation. Throughout the interview, Putin displayed Russia's lack of interest in significant negotiations and its antagonistic stance towards the West. He also falsely accused the West of forcing Russia to attack Ukraine while also making an invitation to talks. Additionally, the speaker highlighted that putting the US anti-ballistic missile system in Poland or another NATO country to protect Ukraine may provoke Russia. The video concludes with a call to subscribe to the channel and continue the conversation in response to audience questions.

00:50:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ОН, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфраструктуру," the speaker discusses the THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) system and its potential ineffectiveness against large-scale attacks using tactical nuclear weapons. The THAAD system, developed for defense against intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), carries minimal effectiveness against nuclear weapons with large yields, which can destroy cities and kill millions of people. These weapons can reach high altitudes and strike objectives in space from the "near space" or "closer to Earth's orbit," also known as low Earth orbit. With no practical solutions to counter massive infantry forces, neither the United States nor its allies can stop such attacks. While there are numerous firepower options available for countering ground forces, their availability might be constrained due to political or economic reasons. The speaker also mentions the lack of supply of certain types of ammunition, such as cluster munitions, which are particularly effective against mass troop formations. Overall, the video highlights the inability to effectively defend against large-scale attacks involving tactical nuclear weapons and significant ground forces.

00:55:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ON, в Авдеевке ухудшение. рф теряет нефтегазовую инфラструктуру," the speaker discusses the current state of the war and Russia's loss of essential petroleum infrastructure. The speaker criticizes the lack of sufficient artillery and ammunition to effectively carry out offensive operations and emphasizes the importance of drones as a compensating measure. However, the Armed Forces are struggling to meet the demands of modern warfare, using outdated weapons and (in comparison to NATO) less-advanced weaponry. The speaker also touches on the topic of American troops in Europe, as the European Union has failed to replace US troops with their own forces despite tensions between Russia and the alliance dating back to the Clinton era. The US Congress has the power to prevent a president from withdrawing or entering NATO without prior approval, leaving any potential changes in the alliance uncertain. Despite this, the speaker asserts that Europe has had the capability to take this step for some time but has chosen not to. The period between the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine has shifted NATO's role from a military alliance to a political organization.

01:00:00 - 01:15:00

In the YouTube video "9.02 Тяни-толкай на Марьинском ОN," the speaker discusses the ongoing geopolitical situation in Europe, with a focus on the tensions between NATO and Russia. They note that Europe is moving towards creating its own security forces, leading to increased US military presence on the continent. France, Germany, and Italy are spearheading this effort, while the US seeks to maintain influence through NATO. The speaker suggests that these developments may lead to a more diplomatic resolution, such as the creation of a buffer zone using advanced defense systems, or the deployment of peacekeeping forces. The speaker also criticizes European countries for providing insufficient aid to Ukraine, but praises the leadership of Ukrainian General Valerii Zaluzhnyi. They call for a change in Russia's tactics, denouncing it as a country of unpunished thieves. The video touches upon the supply situation in the Kaliningrad region and the misinformation surrounding its transit route. The speaker identges themselves as part of the Ukrainian defense forces and expresses gratitude to their sponsors for their support. The video concludes with a reminder of ongoing volunteer fundraising efforts for the Ne Zla foundation to aid Ukrainian brigades.

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