18.02 The enemy probes the front in other directions. Russian assets are beginning to be transferred to Ukraine.

in ukraine •  10 months ago 

00:00:00 - 01:00:00
In the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, with the Russian forces intensifying their efforts to advance in various fronts, specifically on the Limansky and Bahmutski directions. The Ukrainian forces are countering these attacks, but the Russians continue searching for new locations to focus their main efforts. There have been numerous military engagements in the past 24 hours, including the downing of a Su-34 bomber on the eastern front, resulting in significant losses and damages. The Russians have also launched over 100 artillery attacks on populated areas across the entire front line. Meanwhile, there have been developments regarding the transfer of Russian assets to Ukraine, including a second 155mm artillery shell factory and the possible deployment of the Su-57 fighter jet with the H-69 cruise missile. Additionally, there are political implications to consider, such as Poland's purchase of Russian grain, Polish-Ukrainian border issues, and the US response to Russia's actions regarding Alexei Navalny's imprisonment and death. The speaker emphasizes the importance of acquiring and delivering necessary weapons and ammunition to the battlefield efficiently while continuously developing domestic production capabilities. Russian warships' presence in the Mediterranean Sea attempting to pass through NATO countries' airspace is also mentioned as a concern.

00:00:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker from Ukraine reports that the enemy resumed night attacks using air-launched weapons on various fronts, including six S-300 zeniтные управляемые ракеты, three Kh-22 missiles, and four Shahbet 136 and 131 drones, launched from the regions of Prichernomorsk-Ahtarsk and Kursk. This comes as zeniтные ракетные подразделения and mobile fire groups of the Ukrainian Air Force and Defense Forces were deployed to counter the aerial attacks. The speaker notes that 12 Shahed drones and one Avian cannon projectile-59 were shot down over Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, Kirovograd, and Dnepropetrovsk regions. In addition, there were many other air attacks, including the downing of a bomber Su-34 on the eastern front, making it a total of 82 military engagements over the past 24 hours, resulting in casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure. The enemy also launched over 100 artillery attacks on more than 100 populated areas across the entire front line, from Chernihiv to Nikolaev.

00:05:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses the ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The situation at the border remains stalemated with both sides engaging in defensive and positional battles. However, the Russian forces have intensified their efforts to advance in other areas, specifically on the Limansky and Bahmutski directions. In these areas, the Ukrainian forces have repelled numerous attacks, but the Russians continue to search for new locations to focus their main efforts. The speaker notes that the fighting around Ivaновskoe, Andreevki, and Donetsk has been particularly intense, with some advances made by the Russian forces but no significant progress towards their ultimate goal of reaching Chasov Yar. The situation is fluid, with the Russians continuing to probe for weaknesses in the Ukrainian defense lines, while Ukrainian forces work to bolster their positions with makeshift fortifications.

00:10:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02 Enemy Probes for Weak Points on Other Fronts. Russian Forces Begin Transferring Assets to Ukraine," the American Institute for the Study of War (AISW) has concluded that air superiority was the deciding factor in the defense of Avdeevka in recent days. Russian forces appeared to have temporarily established and localized air superiority, providing direct support to their ground troops during their offensive operation to capture Avdeevka. This marked the first time that Russian forces had done so in Ukraine. The delay in Western security assistance may result in significant limitations for the Ukrainian air defense system, potentially enabling Russian forces to repeat the operation that contributed to the RF's gains in Avdeevka. The AISW experts also emphasized the role of aviation in modern warfare, noting that over 100 sorties were being carried out daily, with up to 500 sorties reportedly being flown over the heads of Ukrainian troops. The aerial onslaught led to the collapse of defenses in Avdeevka. The Ukrainian forces are currently holding the line against the enemy on four key fronts – Donetsk, Mariupol, Staromayorsk, and Zaporizhzhia. Russian forces are testing the Ukrainian lines of defense, aiming to find weak points where they will concentrate their main efforts and deliver their greatest blows. The fighting on these fronts is expected to continue until after Putin's federal assembly vote.

00:15:00

In this section of the video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses ongoing military actions between Russian and Ukrainian forces, specifically focusing on the Zaporozhskill direction. Russian forces attempted to advance but were unsuccessful in their efforts, resulting in significant losses and a retreat to initial positions. Ukrainian forces successfully countered the attack and destroyed approximately 18 units of enemy technology, including three tanks and 15 armored vehicles, as well as around 70 enemies on the ground and 80 wounded Russians. Despite this victory, the Russian forces are reportedly planning new attacks on the Liman, Bahmut, and Mariupol fronts, as well as in Herson. Ukrainian forces continue to hold their positions and repel attacks on the left bank of the Dnepr, although activity has decreased slightly. The Russians are also preparing to transport ships to Kaehovka with the intention of launching waterborne operations to cleanse the islands and the Dnepr riverbed of Ukrainian forces. The Ukrainian side is monitoring this situation closely and plans to engage in fierce firefights as soon as the ships emerge. Furthermore, Russian troops have begun using the tactic of night raids on Ukrainian positions, but Ukrainian forces are prepared with drones, which can detect and attack the enemy in the dark.

00:20:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02 Enemy probes the front on other directions. RF assets begin to transfer to Ukraine," the speaker discusses military developments on the Herson front line, where Ukrainian air defense forces have targeted 14 enemy strongholds over the past few days using 14 types of weapons, resulting in the loss of over 1,000 enemy personnel and equipment, including 11 tanks, 53 armored vehicles, 40 artillery systems, three aircraft, three drones, and 36 cruise missiles. The Russian Federation is building a second 155mm artillery shell factory in Ukraine, and there are speculations that Russia may be using its new Su-57 fighter jet to launch the H-69 cruise missile, which has a maximum range of 290 km, against Ukraine. However, this is only a speculation as the SU-57 has yet to be used in combat in Ukraine, and the H-69 is still in the testing stage.

00:25:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02 Enemy Probing Front on Other Directions. Russian Assets Begin to be Transferred to Ukraine," the International Institute for Strategic Studies announced that the hypothetical Russian-made missile, "69," was reportedly nearing completion of development and testing in February 2021. This suggests the beginning of production and possible military deployment. The premier of the Netherlands, Mark Rutte, confirmed that the delivery of F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine was ongoing, with a minimum of 24 planes. Denmark's prime minister, Mette Frederiksen, declared that Denmark would transfer all its artillery and ammunition to Ukraine due to the international community's inadequate response to Russia's full-scale invasion. Other European countries were encouraged to do the same to replenish their stocks, create jobs, and stimulate their economies. The United States could lose its global power and influence if European countries continue to transfer existing weapons and invest in their defense industries.

00:30:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses the ongoing tension between Poland and Ukraine, specifically regarding Poland's purchase of Russian grain and their blocking of Ukrainian grain exports. Polish farmers and protesters, including the Dальнобойщики (Long Drivers), have blocked six border crossings between Poland and Ukraine, resulting in a backlog of around 3,300 trucks. Ukraine, on the other hand, is retaliating by blocking the exit of trucks from Ukraine, affecting thousands of trucks. The controversy stems from the fact that Poland has imported 4.3 million tons of grain from Russia while purchasing only 12 million tons from Ukraine. Poland's farmers have expressed concern that the Russian grain imports could lead to price dumping and oversaturating the market from Ukraine. In response, the Polish government argues that their actions are driven by farmers' desperation and their opposition to favorable EU conditions for Ukrainian truck imports. Meanwhile, the United States House of Representatives is expected to vote on a package of aid to Ukraine, but it will not happen before mid-March. The US Representative Mike McCollum has stated that theDemocratic Party has put diplomatic considerations over immediate aid to Ukraine, creating an opportunity for Putin's forces to make further gains on the battlefield. Additionally, the Democratic Party, in the speaker's opinion, has shown its true colors by supporting Putin's actions, supposedly due to the alleged lack of parity in the air and the deficiency of US-supplied ammunition, which forced Ukraine to seek Russian assistance. The speaker criticizes the Democrats for wanting to acknowledge Putin's legitimacy and delaying aid to Ukraine before the Russian elections. Joe Biden also voiced his opinion on the matter, stating that he would not make any serious consequences against Russia regarding the Navalny case.

00:35:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses the political and military implications of the West's response to Russia's actions regarding Alexei Navalny's imprisonment. Three years ago, the US allegedly warned Russia of consequences if Navalny died in prison. Following Navalny's death, President Biden stated that the US had already taken action. Russia, in response, diverted funds and resources from the military to support Navalny's cause, weakening their military potential. The EU and other countries are now making an effort to restore what was lost. The US has transferred the first 500,000 dollars of frozen Russian assets to Ukraine through Estonia, and six individuals have been charged with export control violations and money laundering in relation to this transaction. The US and their allies have pledged to keep control of Russian assets until Moscow fully compensates Ukraine for the damage caused by the Federalization's energy system expansion. Russia will need to pay for the damage and destruction they have inflicted on Ukraine and its people. The geopolitical and military events of the past day mark the beginning of this video's analysis. The speaker invites viewers to subscribe to their channel and encourages them to like the video. Regarding today's first question, some viewers argue that Europe cannot provide us with the necessary amount of weapons. The US could have pursued alternative plans, such as diverting weapons supplies from other sources or negotiating deals with European countries and other weapon-rich nations.

00:40:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02 Enemy Probes the Front on Other Directions. Russian Assets Begin to Transfer to Ukraine," the speaker discusses the potential for developing domestic military production as a backup plan during Russia's military withdrawal from Ukraine. The speaker mentions that numerous military programs and initiatives were halted, and the production of military equipment for foreign countries, such as Saudi Arabia, was prioritized instead. However, there were no spare capacity or reserves for domestic production. The speaker highlights a missed opportunity to manufacture artillery shells during this period, acknowledging the extensive damage to stockpiles from fires. He then explains that instead of signing treaties with strong guarantees, Russia entered into long-term military-technical cooperation agreements with other countries that allowed for collaborative R&D, production, and procurement efforts. These agreements began immediately after signing and helped in the rearmament and modernization of Ukraine's military forces. Additionally, during this period, a transition period was anticipated after Ukraine's victory in the war, during which guaranteeing countries would consult with Ukraine and provide necessary weapons and equipment to prevent or resolve crises. This is in contrast to the Budapest Memorandum, which only guarantees security, and the speaker emphasizes the distinct features of the new agreements.

00:45:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses a legal agreement between Russia and Ukraine regarding military cooperation and the transfer of certain assets. While the details of the agreement are being worked out, there are specific provisions concerning military-technical cooperation that are already in effect. These provisions allow Ukraine to receive drones and possibly return some tanks in exchange for grant money, the details of which are still being discussed. The Western partners are actively supporting this agreement and have promised to provide drones, some of which incorporate new technologies based on artificial intelligence. The speaker notes that Ukraine is currently facing financial difficulties and is unable to acquire large sums of cash, so the transfer of technology and weaponry is being prioritized instead. The composition of the military aid packages is being determined through a coordination center at Ramstein, Germany. The speaker also mentions that the crew sizes for Western weapons have been reduced from previous sizes, and dump trucks have replaced earlier loading mechanisms for the crew members responsible for loading and preparing ammunition for firing.

00:50:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses the difference between Russian and Western self-propelled artillery. According to the old Soviet military doctrine, self-propelled artillery should only shoot from the ground, with two personnel in charge of reloading from the ground, while in Western artillery, self-loading systems allow for continuous reloading. The speaker also notes that due to the current conflict, it is more cost-effective for Russia to purchase pre-made weapons and ammunition from the market rather than producing their own. This is due to the high production costs and the risk of losing production facilities to enemy attacks. The main goal, according to the speaker, is to acquire and deliver the necessary weapons and ammunition to the battlefield as efficiently as possible. Therefore, in the current situation, purchasing weapons and ammunition from the market is more beneficial than producing it domestically. However, the government must also continue to develop its own production capabilities to avoid being completely dependent on market purchases.

00:55:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "18.02," the speaker discusses the Russian military's efforts to probe for weaknesses in other directions aside from the Ukrainian front, specifically mentioning the presence of Russian warships in the Mediterranean Sea allegedly attempting to pass through the airspace of NATO countries such as Syria, Iran, Iraq, and the Caspian Sea. The speaker explains that these nations will not allow Russian missiles to pass through their airspace due to the international consequences, and the presence of American troops in Iraq and the political influence on Iranian leadership adds to this. The speaker also mentions the limitations of Russian missile launchers and the need for maintenance, making them a less immediate threat, but still a concern. The speaker also briefly discusses the importance of maintaining communication and avoiding radio frequencies interfered by the opposing side's electronic warfare.

01:00:00 - 01:15:00

In the "18.02" YouTube video titled "Враг прощупывает фронт на других направлениях. Активы рф начинают передавать Украине" (Enemy Probing Fronts on Other Directions. Russian Assets Beginning to be Transferred to Ukraine), Oleg discusses Russia's military strategies on the Ukrainian front and potential threats in Moldova. He believes that Russia aims to exploit weaknesses on other directions with its hybrid operation in Moldova, using its strong pro-Russian sentiment and media influence. Oleg also highlights the ongoing Ukrainian offensive, with the Russian army counteracting by reinforcing their troops in critical areas. Despite their potential to recruit 30,000 new combatants monthly, Russia's primary focus remains on the eastern front. In additional news, Oleg touches upon the ongoing loss of Russian ground in Ukraine and speculates on potential US involvement. Moreover, he discusses the postponement of a summit in Ukraine and Russia's invitation to attend, despite current internal issues. The video concludes with Oleg expressing his support for Ukraine and encouraging viewers to subscribe and spread awareness.

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