13.02 Stabilization of the front in Avdeevka. Senate approves aid to Ukraine

in ukraine •  9 months ago 

00:00:00 - 01:00:00
In the YouTube video titled "13.02 Stabilization of the Front in Avdeevka. The Senate approved aid to Ukraine," the speaker discusses the current operational situation along the Ukrainian frontlines. Despite another night of air attacks from Russia, Ukrainian forces have managed to repel multiple attacks. The most significant attacks occurred near Temrument-Ahtarsk, resulting in civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, including a power station in Dnepropetrovsk. The speaker notes that the intensity of attacks has decreased, but the Russians continue to gather reserves and are expected to renew attacks on the Kupiansk-Limanskyi and Avdeevka-Mariinka fronts. The speaker also touches upon the geopolitical implications of the conflict and recent military losses suffered by the Russian forces, which may total over 1,200 troops in 1 day and significant military hardware. Despite these developments, Ukrainian forces are making progress in fortifying their positions and making defensive and liberation efforts. The speaker concludes by discussing the current military situation at the Ukrainian-Belarusian border and the differences between the Budapest Memorandum of 1994 and the current security guarantees being negotiated with certain countries. These agreements are more substantial and effective than the Budapest Memorandum, as they go beyond verbal commitments and include specific provisions and protocols.

00:00:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Stabilization of the Front in Avdeevka. The Senate approved aid to Ukraine," the speaker from Ukraine shares the operational situation over the past 24 hours which unfortunately involves another night of air attacks from Russia. There were 136 drone attacks, the most significant being from the port city of Temrument-Ahtarsk. Ukrainian forces managed to shoot down 16 drones and surrounding regions such as Dnepropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson suffered damage. despite the enemy's desperate efforts to attack their positions, their resources are starting to dwindle, with the adversary launching five rocket and 113 aerial attacks along with 135 artillery strikes. Civilians have suffered casualties and infrastructure damage, including a power station in the city of Dnepropetrovsk which may take weeks to months to restore. The Ukrainian forces have repaired the electricity supply in all areas of Dnepropetrovsk, and air raids have been focused mainly on Donetsk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson regions, with Sloviansk and northern territories remaining stable but under heavy artillery and diversionary activity.

00:05:00

in this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Стабилизация фронта в Авдеевке. Сенат утвердил помощь Украине," the speaker discusses the current state of the front line in various operational directions along the Ukrainian border. In the Belgorod region, the line of defense, which has been ongoing for over half a year, remains unchanged. The Russian forces tried to attack near Sennovka and Tabayev on the Cupynsk direction but were unsuccessful. The most active area was the Bahmutsk direction, where intense fighting took place around Bogdanovka, Andreevka, and Klecheevka. The Russians managed to regain some of their earlier lost positions near Klecheevka, aiming to control this key location. The line of defense holds and Ukrainian forces are repelling all attacks. However, the Russians have made progress in the area around Ivanovskaya, and some of their attacks on the Bahmutsk direction were not completely repelled. The enemy is also gathering reserves, possibly preparing for a push towards Chasov Yar. The operational-strategic group of forces Tavrida's responsibility begins in the Avdeevka direction. The intensity has slightly decreased, and the enemy continues trying to surround Ukrainian forces in Avdeevka while attempting to divide their group. They have had success with this tactic in the recent past, leading to a repacement of the 110th OMBR with another brigade. The Ukrainian General Staff has not yet disclosed which brigade has taken its place in Avdeevka. Despite suffering significant losses, the Russians continue pushing forward.

00:10:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Stabilization of the Front in Avdeevka. The Senate approved aid to Ukraine," the military situation along the frontlines in Ukraine is discussed. The military expert in the video emphasizes that this section is not about military strategy but rather a political one, as Ukrainian forces succeeded in stopping the enemy's advance in Avdeevka and its surrounding areas, including Ranenie and Novomikhailovka, without any significant progress made by the enemy forces. The expert explains that the adversary attempted to attack Ukrainian positions 35 times in the last few days but failed, retreating to their original positions. The situation remained relatively stable on the Novopavlovskoe and Zaporozhskoe fronts, with no significant enemy activity reported. The Ukrainian forces repelled an attack in the Chistov area and consolidated their position. The expert concludes that the enemy forces, having exerted great effort in their previous attacks, are now expected to regroup and possibly renew their attacks on the Kupiansk-Limanskyi and Avdeevka-Mariinka fronts. Ukrainian forces, on the other hand, continue to fortify their positions and make progress in their defense and liberation efforts. Overall, the expert highlights the effective Ukrainian response and the resulting stabilization of the front lines on most sectors, except for the Bahmut operational direction.

00:15:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Стабилизация фронта в Авдеевке. Сенат утвердил помощь Украине," the speaker discusses recent military losses suffered by the Russian forces in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The Russian army reportedly lost over 1,200 troops and significant amounts of military hardware including tanks, armored vehicles, artillery systems, and anti-aircraft defenses. The speaker also touches upon the geopolitical implications of the conflict and the reactions from other countries, particularly references to historical territorial claims. The focus then shifts to an interview given by Russian President Vladimir Putin to American media personality Tucker Carlson, which was reportedly not for public consumption. The speaker speculates that the meeting may have been arranged to deliver a private message to someone influential in the United States, possibly former President Donald Trump. The actual content of the message remains undisclosed.

00:20:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Стабилизации фронта в Авдеевке. Сенат утвердил помощihood Ukraine," Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly unwilling to compromise on the Ukraine issue due to Russia's stronger negotiating position and military support from countries like Iran, Belarus, and North Korea. The head of Norwegian military intelligence also mentioned that China is supplying Russia with dual-use items, possibly including weapons and ammunition. The apparent shooting down of an experimental Russian anti-ship missile over Kyiv by Ukraine was discussed, with experts concluding that the 3M22 Tsirkon hypersonic missile did not meet its advertised specifications or capabilities. Instead of being a game-changer, this missile attempt was labeled a failure, with the Ukrainian defense system reportedly intercepting it before it reached its intended target.

00:25:00

in this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Stabilization of the front in Avdeevka. The Senate approved aid to Ukraine," there is a discussion about a failed Russian missile launch in Ukraine and Elon Musk's criticism of Russian President Putin. Musk, a known supporter of Donald Trump, made a joke on social media about the reasons for Putin's incursion into Ukraine, but later Senate Republicans called for financial aid to Ukraine in the U.S. Congress. The interview with Putin that Musk mocked was conducted in an interior setting, which perhaps contributed to Musk's criticism. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a contentious issue, and Musk's joke seemed to touch a nerve. Despite being a Trump supporter, he criticized Putin publicly, which drew attention to the ongoing geopolitical tensions. The Senate has already approved the funding bill, and it is now in the House of Representatives, where Speaker Nancy Pelosi has expressed opposition to the bill. The Democrats hold a majority in the House, and losing the vote could result in negative consequences for the U.S. on the international stage. The interview ended with the Senate sending the proposal to the House for consideration, with Speaker Pelosi posing a significant challenge to its passage.

00:30:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Стабилизация фронта в Авдеевке. Сенат утвердил помощь Украине," the speaker discusses the damage caused to Ukraine's infrastructure and the cost estimated at $155 billion. The damage includes over 250,000 destroyed or damaged homes, primarily in Donetsk, Kyiv, Luhansk, Chernihiv, and Kherson regions, as well as the destruction or damage of over 78 private, medium, and large businesses and 348 state-owned enterprises. Russia is expected to pay for the damages as part of a bill, and there have been issues with Polish farmers dumping grain on the border as a prank, causing damage and leading to a potential five-year jail sentence for those involved. In addition, Russian servers have been experiencing issues due to sanctions, and China refused to take on Russian data servers. Lastly, the British intelligence reported that Russia intends to extend the military service to ages 65-70, which could mean that soldiers may serve beyond the average life expectancy in Russia. The recruitment of foreign mercenaries and attempts to increase the age limit for mobilization also suggest a shortage of personnel in the Russian military.

00:35:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Стабилизация фронта в Авдеевке. Сенат утвердил помощь Украине," the speaker discusses military news, including the difference between cumulative and fugasive artillery shells. Cumulative shells have a unique shape with a tubular front part and a conical tip, and the explosive material is not uniformly filled like in a fugasive shell. Instead, it is placed in a specialized cavity, forming a cavitation or "cupping" effect. When this type of shell hits an obstacle, it creates a shock wave or "jacketed projectile" that penetrates the target by melting or vaporizing the metal. The speaker explains that the shape and composition of cumulative shells make them effective against armored targets.

00:40:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Stabilization of the front in Avdeevka. The Senate approved aid to Ukraine," the speaker explains the difference between fugasive and cumulative armor-piercing shells in detail. Cumulative shells create a hollow cone of high pressure and temperature upon impact, which penetrates and damages the armor by prompting an internal shock, causing hemorrhages, and leaving large oval-shaped holes. These shells provide their distinct advantage, primarily used against armor-protected vehicles, by creating a cavitation effect that intensely concentrates on obstacles, forming a high-velocity shockwave. The significance of Avdeevka as a political issue over a strategic one is also discussed, with the possibility of withdrawing troops and the motives for keeping them busy until the Russian presidential elections in March. The upcoming Ramstein talks are expected to bring essential decision-smaking in terms of restoring weapon deliveries to Ukraine and influencing the overall conflict.

00:45:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Стабилизация фронта в Авдеевке. Сенат утвердил помощью Украине," the speaker discusses the challenges of targeting enemy drones and missiles in the area of Prigorask-Ahtarsk, as Russia does not have the capability to launch such attacks from that location. The speaker acknowledges that drones have already been sighted in the area and that Ukrainian forces have faced attacks on the airstrip multiple times. The speaker then suggests that it is possible to counter drones with artificial intelligence by disrupting their GPS signals and creating a system of electronic countermeasures. They argue that if the drone loses its GPS signal and orientation, it will activate its navigation system or targeting system directly on the object it is homing in on. However, this also means that Ukrainian forces must correctly identify the object the drone is targeting to set up a decoy. The speaker warns of the ongoing threat of Russian advances on cities such as Kyiv and emphasizes the importance of military analysis.

00:50:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Стабилизация фронта в Авдеевке. Сенат утвердил помощь Украине," the speaker discusses the military situation at the Ukrainian-Belarusian border. The Belarusian army is stationed on the border in rotation, while Russian troops are present in border regions such as Kурская, Брянская, and Белгородская, building a defensive line. The speaker believes that a potential offensive from these forces could extend up to 170 kilometers deep and require immense logistical support, making the military threat significant but currently unlikely. However, there are still concerns about diversionary and reconnaissance activities, as well as artillery fire from across the border. Overall, while the risk of a large-scale attack is low at the moment, the speaker emphasizes the importance of being prepared.

00:55:00

In this section of the YouTube video titled "13.02 Stabilization of the Front in Avdeevka. The Senate approved aid for Ukraine," the speaker discusses the differences between the current security guarantees being negotiated between Ukraine and certain countries and the Budapest Memorandum of 1994. The Budapest Memorandum is a non-binding document that Ukraine and other former Soviet states signed, which gave assurances regarding their territorial integrity in exchange for nuclear disarmament. In contrast, the current security guarantees include specific provisions and protocols that outline concrete actions to be taken by the signatories in the event of a crisis. These differences make the current agreements more substantial and effective than the Budapest Memorandum, as they go beyond just verbal commitments. Additionally, the speaker mentions that these agreements will remain in effect until Ukraine joins NATO, at which point they will be automatically annulled. Throughout the conversation, the speaker also briefly addresses other topics such as a mask parade in Düsseldorf and the issues of passports and Russian soldiers.

01:00:00 - 01:05:00

In the YouTube video titled "13.02 Stabilization of the Front in Avdeevka. The Senate approved aid to Ukraine," Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addresses the importance of farmers adhering to agreements during grain transit to Poland and criticizes Russian military bases in Crimea. He emphasizes providing financial incentives and political asylum for captured soldiers to prevent them from surrendering. The former President of Mongolia's publication of a map showing historical territories now part of Russia as belonging to the Mongol Empire leads to Putin's statements about protecting Russian speakers in other countries and Russia's Arctic exploration. The speaker in the video encourages viewers to subscribe, like and share the video to increase its reach, and the rest of the video focuses on the ongoing defense efforts in Ukraine, with a call for unity and victory.

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