Here is the latest YouGov poll:
Do people remember the Hung Parliament predicted by Professor Rawlings after the local elections six weeks ago?
His analysis of the votes cast in the local elections suggested Labour on 35%, Conservatives on 26%, LibDems on 16%, and others (Greens, Reform, independents) on 22%.
It's not far off the current poll, is it? Whether it's a hung parliament or a Labour majority depends on which constituencies those votes pile up. And whether Reform is overstated in the polls as they were in the council elections.