What is a Divergence Loss?

in hpl •  last year 

Divergence loss is a measure of the difference between two probability distributions.
It is often used in the context of finance, particularly in the field of DeFi (decentralized finance).

In the context of DeFi, divergence loss is used to measure the difference between the expected return of an asset and the actual return of the asset.
This can be used to assess the risk of an asset and to make informed investment decisions.

Divergence loss can also be used to measure the difference between the prices of two assets. This can be used to identify arbitrage opportunities and to make informed trading decisions.

There are a number of different ways to calculate divergence loss.
The most common method is to use the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence.
The KL divergence is a measure of the difference between two probability distributions that is asymmetric. This means that the KL divergence of two distributions is not always equal to the KL divergence of the two distributions in reverse.

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The KL divergence is calculated as follows

KL(p||q) = sum(p(i) * log(p(i) / q(i)))

Where:
p(i) is the probability of event i occurring under distribution p
q(i) is the probability of event i occurring under distribution q

The KL divergence is a non-negative number.

A KL divergence of 0 indicates that the two distributions are identical. A KL divergence of greater than 0 indicates that the two distributions are different. The larger the KL divergence, the more different the two distributions are.

Divergence loss is a useful tool for measuring the difference between two probability distributions. It can be used in a variety of contexts, including DeFi, trading, and risk management.

Divergence Loss in DeFi

In the context of DeFi, divergence loss is commonly encountered when providing liquidity to decentralized exchanges (DEXs).
DEXs are peer-to-peer marketplaces where users can trade cryptocurrency assets without the need for an intermediary like a traditional brokerage.
Liquidity providers (LPs) on DEXs deposit pairs of assets into liquidity pools, allowing others to trade those assets. In exchange for their contribution, LPs earn rewards, typically in the form of trading fees.

However, the value of an LP's assets can fluctuate due to price changes in the underlying assets. When the price of one asset in a liquidity pool moves significantly away from its initial price, the LP may experience divergence loss. This is because the value of the LP's assets is tied to the value of the assets in the pool, regardless of whether the LP is actively trading or not.

To illustrate this concept, consider an LP who deposits 1 ETH and 100 USDC into a liquidity pool. If the price of ETH were to double, the value of the ETH in the pool would also double, but the value of the USDC would remain the same. As a result, the LP's overall asset value would increase, even though they have not actively traded any assets.

Conversely, if the price of ETH were to halve, the value of the ETH in the pool would also halve, while the value of the USDC would remain the same. In this case, the LP's overall asset value would decrease, even though they have not actively traded any assets.

Divergence loss is an inherent risk of providing liquidity to DEXs.
However, LPs can mitigate this risk by carefully selecting the assets they deposit into liquidity pools and by diversifying their investments across multiple pools. Additionally, some DEXs offer mechanisms to compensate LPs for divergence loss, such as impermanent loss protection protocols.

Divergence Loss in Trading

Divergence loss can also be applied to trading strategies, particularly when comparing the performance of two assets or portfolios. By calculating the KL divergence between the returns of two assets, traders can assess the degree of similarity or difference in their performance.

For instance, a trader might compare the performance of a high-risk stock portfolio to a low-risk bond portfolio. A high KL divergence between the two portfolios would indicate that their returns have been significantly different, suggesting that the portfolios have different risk profiles.

Traders can also use divergence loss to identify arbitrage opportunities. Arbitrage is the practice of buying an asset in one market and selling it in another market at a higher price to profit from the price difference. By calculating the KL divergence between the prices of an asset across different exchanges, traders can identify situations where the price difference is large enough to warrant an arbitrage trade.

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