For the layman, what's your thesis on the price of BITCOIN?

My thesis is, buy the bottom, get out the top, use the four-year cycle, and then I stare aggressively at the Federal Reserve.

My whole thing is the Federal Reserve. I'm going to give you something that I told somebody else, like nobody believes me, but if you backtest it, I guarantee your life will change.

Source

If you look at the Federal Reserve, every time they printed, there was a major fall. And it goes against the exact opposite of what everybody says.

But if you look at it from 2000, let's look at another risk-on-asset, S&P 500. Look at the S&P 500 and look at when they changed Federal Reserve policy for the first time and they dropped interest rates. They either kept it consistent or increased interest rates, and then they flip it and they drop.

Every single time you would have predicted the S&P 500's fall, the greatest fall is 40% plus, every time.

So I'm looking for two things. Halfway through the Bitcoin cycle, Bitcoin falls.