Bitcoin Halving Effect on Price

in crypto •  2 years ago 

Bitcoin Halving Effect on Asset’s Behavior Still Unclear: Coinbase

Getting a clear picture of the crypto market’s reaction to the halving would require disentangling the effects of several external factors, according to Coinbase.

Read the report.

“We think it’s possible that the next bitcoin halving in 2Q24 could have a positive impact on the token’s performance. However, the limited supporting evidence makes this relationship still somewhat speculative, in our view,” the Coinbase research head added.

Some interesting analysis, but I have a different theory; that the price has a lot to do with mining technology and the release of faster and more efficient machines. These would offset the drop in mining profits suffered at each halving. This means there is less pressure on miners to sell immediately to finance their operations. This then means that any global liquidity would be pushing at an open door.

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  ·  last year  ·  

interesting
pump n dumpy

  ·  2 years ago  ·  

If you look at this profitability chart
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/mining_profitability-price-btc.html#alltime
and overlay the BTC price chart, you'll see what I mean.
The numbers have seen vast changes over the years, so best to look at each cycle and use the log scale.

  ·  2 years ago  ·  

Bitcoin holders with 100 BTC or less scooped 254% of mined supply last month: Glassnode

It appears Bitcoin (BTC) wallet addresses with under 100 BTC have used the recent dump in the flagship cryptocurrency’s value to add to their positions.

we shall see if that was wise ;-)

  ·  2 years ago  ·  

Crypto Strategist Predicts Parabolic Bitcoin Move, Says BTC Could Catch Fire With Single Spark

the spark?

There is LESS EXCESS SUPPLY available than there has EVER BEEN in the history of Bitcoin’s existence. What does this mean?

and...

The situation with Bitcoin right now is like a kerosene-soaked rag in the middle of a forest filled with dead trees – all it will take is a single spark of demand (could be in the form of a number of positive fundamental catalysts – the reason behind the spark doesn’t matter) to set that rag on fire.

oh... speculation.

  ·  2 years ago  ·  


denial

  ·  last year  ·  

the fate of mined coins is important

  ·  2 years ago  ·  

DataDash is always fun...


mmm... similar view to mine.

  ·  2 years ago  ·  

hah!
Fidelity Rumored To File Bitcoin Spot ETF In US, Bid For Grayscale
Just what Nick was saying, Blackrock is not wholly unique, Liberty and Vanguard will be rushing in IF a spot BTC ETF had any chance of being approved. This can still take a few months, adding to uncertainty.

  ·  2 years ago  ·  

Also, DCG has been siphoning their fees from GBTC for years, and at a mouth-watering 2% pa, and with no income sources or trading, that means GBTC's true NAV is likely at a 20% discount just based on coins held. So much for "accredited" investors.

  ·  2 years ago  ·  

excited again


within touching distance

  ·  last year  ·  


BullTC
this is a different world and too many are expecting the same patterns.
when everyone knows, that's when surprises happen.