Which part of the Market Cycle do you think Bitcoin is in right now?
Assets tend to go through a somewhat predictable cycle known as a market cycle, which attempts to explain how the human psychology tends to work throughout the price cycle of an asset.
It explains the different phases of a market cycle and the mental state that often accompanies it.
You have probably seen it before, but it not, it looks something like this:
(Source: https://www.pinterest.com/pin/96405248247739382/)
You would be shocked to see how accurate this chart is and how many asset price charts look exactly like this on a number of different time frames.
Why part of the cycle do you think Bitcoin is on?
Personally I think bitcoin is in the disbelief stage. Climbing that wall of worry where some people aren't even sure if the bear market is completely over yet.
Others also refer to this part of the rally has the stealth part of the rally, where the long term believers are well aware of what is going on but much of the outside world hasn't really caught on just yet.
I think we are somewhere around here presently:
If this is true it would mean we haven't haven't even gotten to the first major bear trap yet.
The time when the market corrects by 30% and the rest of the world starts gloating that they were right about bitcoin.
We've seen it happen a few times already and the bears end up getting slaughtered right before the parabolic move rips their face off.
My guess is this bear trap happens after we break $20k.
Probably shoot up to $30k or so and then see a very steep pullback, possibly one that takes us all the way back to $20k.
Sounds funny saying "all the way back to $20k" like it's a bad thing or something...
Anyways, that's how I see it, what part of the cycle do you think we are in?
Stay informed my friends.
-Doc
Hope..... or bear trap ....
Yea, Hope looks applicable to be as well.
I agree that we're in the Bear Trap phase of beloved BItcoin's life cycle
You think we are there already?
I do...I think once a new ATH would is made, it would theoretically be above the curve labeled "First Sell Off." Just my humble opinion, however
I don't think we have seen a big enough dip yet for that part of the curve personally.
how low do you think it can go? I guess I thought 3.8k was a pretty good dip! you think lower?
I don't think it will ever go below $10k again, and probably not ever below $12k again. I mean in that part of the cycle there will be roughly a 30% correction or so and we haven't seen one of those yet.
I see - I hope you are right as I will be buying that dip yet again
The only question is what price point that pullback begins around. Is it around current levels? $20k? $25k? I wish I knew...